Prediction: Wenzhou FC vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
Expected goals: 2.11 (Wenzhou FC 0.77 · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1.34). The model gives 21% home, 30% draw, 49% away. Over 2 goals (50%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 0-1.
On recent form, Wenzhou FC is 3-4-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 6-1-3 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Wenzhou FC and 2 for Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic.
| Wenzhou FC | Draw | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 31% | 49% |
| Market | 21% | 29% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic (rating 1487 vs 1538).
- H2H favours Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wenzhou FC | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.4 | 1.2 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wenzhou FC 1–0–2 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 China Division 2 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Wenzhou FC |
| 28/06/25 China Division 2 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Wenzhou FC |
| 12/04/25 China Division 2 | Wenzhou FC | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 13 | 28 |
| 2 | Shenzhen 2028 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | Hubei Istar | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 26 |
| 4 | Xiamen Feilu | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 24 |
| 5 | Jiangxi Lushan | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
| 6 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 23 |
| 7 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 19 |
| 8 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 18 |
| 9 | Guangdong Mingtu | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 16 |
| 10 | Wenzhou FC | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 15 |
| 11 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 13 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wenzhou FC | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 0-0 D | 7-0 W |
| Ganzhou Ruishi | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Xiamen Feilu | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Shenzhen 2028 | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Guangdong Mingtu | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Jiangxi Lushan | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Guangzhou Dandelion | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Hubei Istar | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 4 D 3 L | 6 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wenzhou FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 24/06 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/05 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 29/04 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 23/06 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/06 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 26/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
3-0 | 7-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wenzhou FC vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic win (49%). Probabilities: Wenzhou FC 21%, draw 30%, Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 49%.
How many goals are expected in Wenzhou FC vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic?
The model expects 2.11 goals (Wenzhou FC 0.77 · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1.34), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Wenzhou FC vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.