Football · China Division 1 · 11/07, 13:00

Prediction: Wuxi Wugo vs Guangxi Hengchen

Expected goals: 2.74 (Wuxi Wugo 1.1 · Guangxi Hengchen 1.64). The model gives 24% home, 27% draw, 49% away. Over 2.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Wuxi Wugo is 2-6-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Guangxi Hengchen 5-4-1 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Wuxi Wugo won 2 and Guangxi Hengchen 0.

49%2
24% 27% 49%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wuxi Wugo 1513 · Guangxi Hengchen 1530
Wuxi WugoDrawGuangxi Hengchen
Our model24%27%49%
Market24%28%48%
Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.74Wuxi Wugo 1.1 · Guangxi Hengchen 1.64
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 55%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Wuxi Wugo: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Wuxi WugoGuangxi Hengchen
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.21.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.60.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/50/10%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.24.1 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.31.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wuxi Wugo 200 Guangxi Hengchen

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
26/10/25
China Division 2
Guangxi Hengchen1-2
HT 0-1
Wuxi Wugo
20/09/25
China Division 2
Wuxi Wugo1-0
HT 1-0
Guangxi Hengchen

Standings · China Division 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 13832 251427
2 Shenzhen Juniors 13733 231524
3 Nantong Zhiyun 13652 12923
4 Guangxi Hengchen 13643 191322
5 Yanbian Longding 13562 181121
6 Ningbo Professional FC 13634 181618
7 Nanjing City 13535 141318
8 Wuxi Wugo 13454 211617
9 Shaanxi Union 12444 15916
10 Dingnan Ganlian FC 13373 182116
11 Changchun Yatai 13616 202215
12 Dalian K'un City 12345 172013
13 Foshan Nanshi 13247 152610
14 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 13238 7169
15 Suzhou Dongwu 13238 10196
16 Meizhou Hakka 13427 13255

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWuxi WugoGuangxi Hengchen
Nanjing City 1-1 D 1-0 W
Nantong Zhiyun 0-1 L 0-0 D
Yanbian Longding 1-1 D 1-1 D
Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 0-0 D 3-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 1 L 2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Guangxi Hengchen (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wuxi Wugo

DDLWDWDDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Shaanxi Union
China Division 1
0-0 1-2 13 L
28/06 Dingnan Ganlian FC
China Division 1
2-2 3-3 57 D
20/06 Qingdao Hainiu
China FA Cup
1-2 2-2 61 D
14/06 Meizhou Hakka
China Division 1
1-1 1-1 50 D
30/05 Suzhou Dongwu
China Division 1
2-1 3-1 74 W
23/05 Nanjing City
China Division 1
1-0 1-1 34 D
16/05 Guangzhou Dandelion
China FA Cup
2-0 2-0 43 W
10/05 Nantong Zhiyun
China Division 1
0-0 0-1 41 L
02/05 Yanbian Longding
China Division 1
1-0 1-1 36 D
26/04 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 43 D

Guangxi Hengchen

WWDWDDDLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Dalian K'un City
China Division 1
0-1 3-1 70 W
27/06 Changchun Yatai
China Division 1
0-0 2-1 63 W
20/06 Shandong Taishan
China FA Cup
0-2 0-5 60 L
14/06 Shenzhen Juniors
China Division 1
0-0 1-1 124 D
30/05 Foshan Nanshi
China Division 1
2-1 3-3 43 D
23/05 Nantong Zhiyun
China Division 1
0-0 0-0 41 D
17/05 Hubei Istar
China FA Cup
2-0 4-0 60 W
10/05 Yanbian Longding
China Division 1
0-1 1-1 113 D
02/05 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC
China Division 1
2-0 3-0 73 W
25/04 Nanjing City
China Division 1
1-0 1-0 93 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wuxi Wugo vs Guangxi Hengchen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Guangxi Hengchen win (49%). Probabilities: Wuxi Wugo 24%, draw 27%, Guangxi Hengchen 49%.

How many goals are expected in Wuxi Wugo vs Guangxi Hengchen?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Wuxi Wugo 1.1 · Guangxi Hengchen 1.64), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Wuxi Wugo vs Guangxi Hengchen?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.