Prediction: Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai
Expected goals: 2.44 (Nantong Zhiyun 1.48 · Changchun Yatai 0.96). The model gives 48% home, 28% draw, 24% away. Over 2.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Nantong Zhiyun sits at 3-4-3 (W-D-L), while Changchun Yatai arrives on a 4-2-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Nantong Zhiyun won 0 and Changchun Yatai 4, with 2 draws.
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Changchun Yatai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 29% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 27% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Changchun Yatai: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nantong Zhiyun | Changchun Yatai | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 1.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 6.9 | 3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nantong Zhiyun 0–2–4 Changchun Yatai
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/24 China Super League | Changchun Yatai | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 05/05/24 China Super League | Nantong Zhiyun | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Changchun Yatai |
| 04/08/23 China Super League | Changchun Yatai | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 06/05/23 China Super League | Nantong Zhiyun | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Changchun Yatai |
| 08/10/20 China Division 1 | Changchun Yatai | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 20/09/20 China Division 1 | Nantong Zhiyun | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Changchun Yatai |
Standings · China Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Shenzhen Juniors | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 24 |
| 3 | Nantong Zhiyun | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Guangxi Hengchen | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Yanbian Longding | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 21 |
| 6 | Ningbo Professional FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 18 |
| 7 | Nanjing City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 18 |
| 8 | Wuxi Wugo | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 17 |
| 9 | Shaanxi Union | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 16 |
| 10 | Dingnan Ganlian FC | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 11 | Changchun Yatai | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 15 |
| 12 | Dalian K'un City | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 13 |
| 13 | Foshan Nanshi | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 10 |
| 14 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 9 |
| 15 | Suzhou Dongwu | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 6 |
| 16 | Meizhou Hakka | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nantong Zhiyun | Changchun Yatai |
|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen Juniors | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| Meizhou Hakka | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Yanbian Longding | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Ningbo Professional FC | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Guangxi Hengchen | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Guangdong GZ-Power | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Dalian K'un City | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Nantong Zhiyun (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nantong Zhiyun
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 29/05 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 23/05 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 15/05 | Dalian Kewei China FA Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Wuxi Wugo China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Shaanxi Union China Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
Changchun Yatai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Meizhou Hakka China Division 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Guangxi Hengchen China Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Dalian K'un City China Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Yanbian Longding China Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Shenzhen Juniors China Division 1 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China FA Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Dingnan Ganlian FC China Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Ningbo Professional FC China Division 1 |
1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 26/04 | Guangdong GZ-Power China Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Foshan Nanshi China Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nantong Zhiyun win (48%). Probabilities: Nantong Zhiyun 48%, draw 28%, Changchun Yatai 24%.
How many goals are expected in Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Nantong Zhiyun 1.48 · Changchun Yatai 0.96), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Nantong Zhiyun vs Changchun Yatai?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.