Football · New Zealand Southern League · 11/07, 04:45
Prediction: Cashmere Technical vs Wanaka AFC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.72Total
Cashmere Technical3.36
Wanaka AFC1.36
1X2
Cashmere Technical
Draw
Wanaka AFC
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cashmere Technical
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Wanaka AFC
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cashmere Technical
2–1
Wanaka AFC
(3 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 86%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cashmere Technical (rating 1650 vs 1400).
- H2H favours Cashmere Technical: 2-0-1.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cashmere Technical | Wanaka AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.8 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 3.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.6 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 90/10/0% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 9.3 | 0.9 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cashmere Technical 2–0–1 Wanaka AFC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 New Zealand Southern League | Wanaka AFC | 0-9 HT 0-6 | Cashmere Technical |
| 12/07/25 New Zealand Southern League | Cashmere Technical | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Wanaka AFC |
| 12/04/25 New Zealand Southern League | Wanaka AFC | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Cashmere Technical |
Standings · New Zealand Southern League · Southern League 2026
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cashmere Technical | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 58 | 6 | 34 |
| 2 | Ferrymead Bays | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 25 |
| 3 | Coastal Spirit | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 22 |
| 4 | Nomads United | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 21 |
| 5 | Nelson Suburbs | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 25 | 18 |
| 6 | Northern AFC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
| 7 | Christchurch United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 12 |
| 8 | Dunedin City Royals FC | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 10 |
| 9 | Selwyn United | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 7 |
| 10 | Wanaka AFC | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 41 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cashmere Technical | Wanaka AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Dunedin City Royals FC | 9-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Ferrymead Bays | 4-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Nomads United | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Selwyn United | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Coastal Spirit | 5-1 W | 2-4 L |
| Christchurch United | 2-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Nelson Suburbs | 6-0 W | 0-6 L |
| Northern AFC | 6-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 7 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Cashmere Technical (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cashmere Technical
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Dunedin City Royals FC New Zealand Cup |
4-0 | 9-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Southern League |
4-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Nomads United New Zealand Southern League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 12/06 | Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Cup |
3-2 | 4-3 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Selwyn United New Zealand Southern League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Dunedin City Royals FC New Zealand Southern League |
5-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League |
1-1 | 5-1 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Christchurch United New Zealand Southern League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Nelson Suburbs New Zealand Southern League |
2-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Northern AFC New Zealand Southern League |
2-0 | 6-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
Wanaka AFC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Northern AFC New Zealand Southern League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Nelson Suburbs New Zealand Southern League |
0-1 | 0-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Ferrymead Bays New Zealand Southern League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Northern AFC New Zealand Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Nomads United New Zealand Southern League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 16/05 | Selwyn United New Zealand Southern League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Dunedin City Royals FC New Zealand Southern League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 27/04 | Coastal Spirit New Zealand Southern League |
0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Christchurch United New Zealand Southern League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Cashmere Technical New Zealand Southern League |
0-6 | 0-9 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cashmere Technical vs Wanaka AFC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cashmere Technical win (75%). Probabilities: Cashmere Technical 75%, draw 14%, Wanaka AFC 11%.
How many goals are expected in Cashmere Technical vs Wanaka AFC?
The model expects 4.72 goals (Cashmere Technical 3.36 · Wanaka AFC 1.36), with a 51% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cashmere Technical vs Wanaka AFC?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.