Prediction: Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan
Expected goals: 3.04 (Wuhan Three Towns 1.51 · Henan 1.53). The model gives 36% home, 26% draw, 37% away. Over 2.75 goals (50%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Wuhan Three Towns sits at 0-7-3 (W-D-L), while Henan arrives on a 5-1-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Wuhan Three Towns won 4 and Henan 1, with 1 draw.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Henan (rating 1454 vs 1512).
- H2H favours Wuhan Three Towns: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wuhan Three Towns | Henan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.6 | 2.4 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wuhan Three Towns 4–1–1 Henan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 China Super League | Henan | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 19/09/25 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 2-5 HT 0-2 | Henan |
| 01/05/25 China Super League | Henan | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 29/09/24 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Henan |
| 17/05/24 China Super League | Henan | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 09/08/23 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Henan |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 15 | 40 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 27 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 25 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 29 | 24 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 25 | 24 |
| 6 | Beijing Guoan | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 21 |
| 7 | Shandong Taishan | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 21 |
| 8 | Liaoning Ironman | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | 20 |
| 9 | Zhejiang | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 26 | 17 |
| 10 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 31 | 17 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 25 | 16 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 15 |
| 13 | Henan | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 15 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 27 | 13 |
| 15 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 8 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wuhan Three Towns | Henan |
|---|---|---|
| Beijing Guoan | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Yunnan Yukun | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Liaoning Ironman | 2-2 D | 4-0 W |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Henan (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wuhan Three Towns
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China FA Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 20/05 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
Henan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/06 | Jiangxi Lushan China FA Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 01/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Henan win (37%). Probabilities: Wuhan Three Towns 36%, draw 26%, Henan 37%.
How many goals are expected in Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan?
The model expects 3.04 goals (Wuhan Three Towns 1.51 · Henan 1.53), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.