Prediction: Tianjin Jinmen Tigers vs Liaoning Ironman
Expected goals: 2.83 (Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 1.48 · Liaoning Ironman 1.36). The model gives 39% home, 28% draw, 34% away. Over 2.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Tianjin Jinmen Tigers with 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Liaoning Ironman has piled up 4-1-5 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Tianjin Jinmen Tigers won 0 and Liaoning Ironman 1, with 5 draws.
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | Draw | Liaoning Ironman | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 27% | 34% |
| Market | 39% | 28% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | Liaoning Ironman | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.7 | 1.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 0–5–1 Liaoning Ironman
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 China Super League | Liaoning Ironman | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers |
| 19/08/17 China Super League | Liaoning Ironman | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers |
| 07/05/17 China Super League | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Liaoning Ironman |
| 31/07/16 China Super League | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Liaoning Ironman |
| 16/04/16 China Super League | Liaoning Ironman | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers |
| 23/08/15 China Super League | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Liaoning Ironman |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 41 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 27 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 25 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 29 | 24 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 25 | 24 |
| 6 | Beijing Guoan | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 21 |
| 7 | Shandong Taishan | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 21 |
| 8 | Liaoning Ironman | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | 20 |
| 9 | Shanghai Shenhua | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 27 | 19 |
| 10 | Zhejiang | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 17 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 31 | 17 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 15 |
| 13 | Henan | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 15 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | 14 |
| 15 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | Liaoning Ironman |
|---|---|---|
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Shanghai Port | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Henan | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Zhejiang | 1-1 D | 5-0 W |
| Wuhan Three Towns | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Liaoning Ironman (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 19/06 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China FA Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 19/05 | Henan China Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 05/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 01/05 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
Liaoning Ironman
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Dalian Kewei China FA Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Zhejiang China Super League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 05/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Henan China Super League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tianjin Jinmen Tigers vs Liaoning Ironman?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tianjin Jinmen Tigers win (39%). Probabilities: Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 39%, draw 28%, Liaoning Ironman 34%.
How many goals are expected in Tianjin Jinmen Tigers vs Liaoning Ironman?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 1.48 · Liaoning Ironman 1.36), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tianjin Jinmen Tigers vs Liaoning Ironman?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.