Prediction: Shanghai Port vs Dalian Young Boy
Expected goals: 2.86 (Shanghai Port 1.77 · Dalian Young Boy 1.09). The model gives 53% home, 25% draw, 23% away. Under 3 goals (55%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Shanghai Port sits at 3-4-3 (W-D-L), while Dalian Young Boy arrives on a 3-2-5 run. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Shanghai Port won 2 and Dalian Young Boy 1.
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Dalian Young Boy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 26% | 22% |
| Market | 53% | 24% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shanghai Port (rating 1519 vs 1466).
- H2H favours Shanghai Port: 2-0-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanghai Port | Dalian Young Boy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.9 | 3.3 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.4 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Port 2–0–1 Dalian Young Boy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 China Super League | Dalian Young Boy | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Shanghai Port |
| 22/11/25 China Super League | Dalian Young Boy | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Shanghai Port |
| 26/06/25 China Super League | Shanghai Port | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Dalian Young Boy |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 41 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 27 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 25 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 29 | 24 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 25 | 24 |
| 6 | Beijing Guoan | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 21 |
| 7 | Shandong Taishan | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 21 |
| 8 | Liaoning Ironman | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 29 | 20 |
| 9 | Shanghai Shenhua | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 27 | 19 |
| 10 | Zhejiang | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 29 | 17 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 31 | 17 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 15 |
| 13 | Henan | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 15 |
| 14 | Qingdao Hainiu | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | 14 |
| 15 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 8 |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanghai Port | Dalian Young Boy |
|---|---|---|
| Qingdao West Coast | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Beijing Guoan | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Qingdao Hainiu | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Shanghai Port (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanghai Port
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Henan China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/06 | Shanghai Segenda China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 29/05 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 19/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 15/05 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Dalian Young Boy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 19/06 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China FA Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 19/05 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 06/05 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 01/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanghai Port vs Dalian Young Boy?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanghai Port win (53%). Probabilities: Shanghai Port 53%, draw 25%, Dalian Young Boy 23%.
How many goals are expected in Shanghai Port vs Dalian Young Boy?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Shanghai Port 1.77 · Dalian Young Boy 1.09), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanghai Port vs Dalian Young Boy?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.