Prediction: Launceston City vs Launceston United
Expected goals: 4.7 (Launceston City 3.35 · Launceston United 1.35). The model gives 81% home, 11% draw, 8% away. Under 4.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 3-1.
Recent form leaves Launceston City with 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Launceston United has piled up 1-2-7 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 6 wins for Launceston City and 0 for Launceston United.
| Launceston City | Draw | Launceston United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 85% | 9% | 5% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Launceston City (rating 1543 vs 1391).
- H2H favours Launceston City: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Launceston City | Launceston United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 2 | 1.2 / 3.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.1 | 1.8 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 2.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Launceston City 6–0–0 Launceston United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston United | 1-7 HT 0-6 | Launceston City |
| 26/08/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston United | 0-11 HT 0-8 | Launceston City |
| 24/05/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston United | 1-6 HT 1-1 | Launceston City |
| 14/03/25 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston City | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Launceston United |
| 30/08/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston City | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Launceston United |
| 05/07/24 Australia Tasmania Premier League | Launceston City | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Launceston United |
Standings · Australia Tasmania Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Hobart | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 52 | 11 | 35 |
| 2 | Kingborough Lions | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | Devonport City | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 14 | 28 |
| 4 | Launceston City | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 24 |
| 5 | Riverside Olympic | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 20 |
| 6 | Clarence Zebras FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 20 |
| 7 | Glenorchy Knights FC | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 26 | 10 |
| 8 | South East United FC | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 9 |
| 9 | Launceston United | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 5 |
| 10 | Ulverstone | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Launceston City | Launceston United |
|---|---|---|
| South East United FC | 1-0 W | 4-6 L |
| Ulverstone | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Glenorchy Knights FC | 2-1 W | 0-4 L |
| South Hobart | 1-8 L | 1-4 L |
| Kingborough Lions | 1-2 L | 1-7 L |
| Clarence Zebras FC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Riverside Olympic | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Launceston City (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Launceston City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Devonport City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-2 | 1-8 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/04 | Launceston United Australia Tasmania Premier League |
6-0 | 7-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-1 | 6-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 20/03 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
Launceston United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | South Hobart Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Glenorchy Knights FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Kingborough Lions Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-4 | 1-7 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | South East United FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
2-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Riverside Olympic Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/04 | Launceston City Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-6 | 1-7 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Clarence Zebras FC Australia Tasmania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Ulverstone Australia Tasmania Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Launceston City vs Launceston United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Launceston City win (81%). Probabilities: Launceston City 81%, draw 11%, Launceston United 8%.
How many goals are expected in Launceston City vs Launceston United?
The model expects 4.7 goals (Launceston City 3.35 · Launceston United 1.35), with a 52% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Launceston City vs Launceston United?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.