Football · Iceland 1 Deild Women · 11/07, 18:00
Prediction: Keflavik (W) vs Tindastoll (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.55Total
Keflavik (W)3.27
Tindastoll (W)1.27
1X2
Keflavik (W)
Draw
Tindastoll (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Keflavik (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Tindastoll (W)
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Keflavik (W)
1–2–3
Tindastoll (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Keflavik (W) 1483 · Tindastoll (W) 1405
| Keflavik (W) | Draw | Tindastoll (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 90% | 7% | 3% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.55 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Keflavik (W) (rating 1483 vs 1405).
- H2H favours Tindastoll (W): 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Keflavik (W) | Tindastoll (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.9 | 0.9 / 4.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 2.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4 | 2 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.3 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Keflavik (W) 1–2–3 Tindastoll (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Iceland 1 Deild Women | Tindastoll (W) | 2-8 HT 1-1 | Keflavik (W) |
| 01/09/24 Iceland Premier League Women | Tindastoll (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Keflavik (W) |
| 25/08/24 Iceland Premier League Women | Tindastoll (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Keflavik (W) |
| 21/06/24 Iceland Premier League Women | Keflavik (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Tindastoll (W) |
| 03/09/23 Iceland Premier League Women | Tindastoll (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Keflavik (W) |
| 26/06/23 Iceland Premier League Women | Keflavik (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Tindastoll (W) |
Standings · Iceland 1 Deild Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grotta (W) | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 24 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik (W) | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Haukar (W) | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 17 |
| 4 | HK Kopavogur (W) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 13 |
| 5 | Selfoss (W) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| 6 | IA Akranes (W) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 10 |
| 7 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
| 8 | Volsungur (W) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 8 |
| 9 | Keflavik (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 7 |
| 10 | Tindastoll (W) | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Keflavik (W) | Tindastoll (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| HK Kopavogur (W) | 0-1 L | 0-7 L |
| Grotta (W) | 3-4 L | 0-5 L |
| IA Akranes (W) | 2-1 W | 0-5 L |
| Volsungur (W) | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Selfoss (W) | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Keflavik (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Keflavik (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 21/06 | HK Kopavogur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 13/06 | Grotta (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
2-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | IA Akranes (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Volsungur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Selfoss (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 15/05 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 08/05 | Haukar (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Tindastoll (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-1 | 8-2 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Kth Women Iceland Cup Women |
3-1 | 8-3 | – | – | W |
Tindastoll (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | KR Reykjavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-5 | 0-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Fjardabyggd/Leiknir/Hottur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | HK Kopavogur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-7 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Grotta (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 25/05 | IA Akranes (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 20/05 | Volsungur (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-4 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Selfoss (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Keflavik (W) Iceland 1 Deild Women |
1-1 | 2-8 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | IR Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Keflavik (W) vs Tindastoll (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Keflavik (W) win (83%). Probabilities: Keflavik (W) 83%, draw 10%, Tindastoll (W) 7%.
How many goals are expected in Keflavik (W) vs Tindastoll (W)?
The model expects 4.55 goals (Keflavik (W) 3.27 · Tindastoll (W) 1.27), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Keflavik (W) vs Tindastoll (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.