Football · Argentina Nacional B · 18/07, 22:00
Prediction: Defensores de Belgrano vs Los Andes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.54Total
Defensores de Belgrano0.82
Los Andes0.71
1X2
Defensores de Belgrano
Draw
Los Andes
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Defensores de Belgrano
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Los Andes
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Defensores de Belgrano
1–1–0
Los Andes
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Defensores de Belgrano 1468 · Los Andes 1516
| Defensores de Belgrano | Draw | Los Andes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 39% | 27% |
| Market | 36% | 35% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.54 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Los Andes (rating 1468 vs 1516).
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Defensores de Belgrano | Los Andes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.7 | 2.7 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 5.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensores de Belgrano 1–1–0 Los Andes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Argentina Nacional B | Los Andes | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano |
| 02/03/19 Argentina Nacional B | Los Andes | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 14 | 40 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 35 |
| 3 | Los Andes | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Colon | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 32 |
| 5 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 30 |
| 6 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 30 |
| 7 | Almirante Brown | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
| 8 | Deportivo Madryn | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 29 |
| 9 | Godoy Cruz | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 25 |
| 10 | CA San Miguel | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 25 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 23 |
| 12 | Racing de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 21 |
| 13 | All Boys | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 21 |
| 14 | CA San Telmo | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 20 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 19 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 20 | 19 |
| 17 | Club Atletico Mitre | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 18 |
| 18 | CA Chaco For Ever | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 16 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Defensores de Belgrano | Los Andes |
|---|---|---|
| Godoy Cruz | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Moron | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| All Boys | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Colon | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Los Andes (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Defensores de Belgrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 13/06 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 18/05 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 12/05 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | D |
Los Andes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 13 | L |
| 14/06 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 16/05 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 02/05 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Defensores de Belgrano vs Los Andes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (37%). Probabilities: Defensores de Belgrano 35%, draw 37%, Los Andes 29%.
How many goals are expected in Defensores de Belgrano vs Los Andes?
The model expects 1.54 goals (Defensores de Belgrano 0.82 · Los Andes 0.71), with a 57% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Defensores de Belgrano vs Los Andes?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.