Basketball · Syria League · 12/07, 20:00

Prediction: Al Ittihad Aleppo vs Homs Al Fidaa (SYR)

Prediction summary
Estimated points
159.5Total
Al Ittihad Aleppo81
Homs Al Fidaa (SYR)78.5
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
57% 43%
Al Ittihad Aleppo Homs Al Fidaa (SYR)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Al Ittihad Aleppo 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LWLWLWLWWW
Homs Al Fidaa (SYR) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WLLWLLWWWL
Head-to-head
Al Ittihad Aleppo 1–1 Homs Al Fidaa (SYR) (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Ittihad Aleppo 1494 · Homs Al Fidaa (SYR) 1516
Al Ittihad AleppoHoms Al Fidaa (SYR)
Our model60%40%
Market56%44%
Estimated total (ours) 159.5 points · Bet365 line 157.5 · +2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points159.5Al Ittihad Aleppo 81 · Homs Al Fidaa (SYR) 78.5

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Al Ittihad AleppoHoms Al Fidaa (SYR)
Points F|A (Last 10)76.6 / 77.483.3 / 83.7
Points F|A (Last 5)81 / 77.683.4 / 79.2
Est. result8179
Est. total159.5
Line O/U157.5
Diff.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Ittihad Aleppo 101 Homs Al Fidaa (SYR)

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/06/26
Syria League
Al Ittihad Aleppo78-75Homs Al Fidaa (SYR)
17/04/26
Syria League
Al Ittihad Aleppo69-76Homs Al Fidaa (SYR)

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAl Ittihad AleppoHoms Al Fidaa (SYR)
Al Wahda (Syria) 71-82 L 77-65 W
Shabibeh 74-72 W 85-80 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Homs Al Fidaa (SYR) (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Ittihad Aleppo

LWLWLWLWWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
09/06 Homs Al Fidaa (SYR)
Syria League
78-75 W
29/05 Al Nawair
Syria League
78-73 W
23/05 Al Karamah
Syria League
93-84 W
14/05 Al Wahda (Syria)
Syria League
71-82 L
27/04 Al Nawair
Syria League
85-74 W
17/04 Homs Al Fidaa (SYR)
Syria League
69-76 L
02/04 Shabibeh
Syria League
74-72 W
30/03 Al Karamah
Syria League
70-83 L
11/03 Al Wahda (Syria)
Syria League
60-56 W
10/02 Shabibeh
Syria League
88-99 L

Homs Al Fidaa (SYR)

WLLWLLWWWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
09/06 Al Ittihad Aleppo
Syria League
75-78 L
04/05 Shabibeh
Syria League
85-80 W
17/04 Al Ittihad Aleppo
Syria League
76-69 W
10/04 Shabibeh
Syria League
81-68 W
28/01 Al Nasr (UAE)
UAE Dubai IBC
100-101 L
27/01 Al Ittihad (Libya)
UAE Dubai IBC
89-112 L
25/01 Al Wahda (Syria)
UAE Dubai IBC
77-65 W
23/01 UAE
UAE Dubai IBC
70-97 L
01/10 Antonine
Arab Club Championship
97-98 L
29/09 Al Nasr (UAE)
Arab Club Championship
83-69 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Ittihad Aleppo vs Homs Al Fidaa (SYR)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Al Ittihad Aleppo 57% · Homs Al Fidaa (SYR) 43%).

How many points are expected in Al Ittihad Aleppo vs Homs Al Fidaa (SYR)?

The model estimates 159.5 total points (Al Ittihad Aleppo 81 · Homs Al Fidaa (SYR) 78.5).