Basketball · Mali Premiere Division · 12/07, 17:00

Prediction: Djoliba AC vs Stade

Prediction summary
Estimated points
142.4Total
Djoliba AC69.9
Stade72.4
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
43% 57%
Djoliba AC Stade

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Djoliba AC 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
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Stade 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Djoliba AC 0–6 Stade (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Djoliba AC 1520 · Stade 1575
Djoliba ACStade
Our model55%45%
Market40%60%
Estimated total (ours) 142.4 points · Bet365 line 133.5 · +8.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points142.4Djoliba AC 69.9 · Stade 72.4

Match keys

  • H2H favours Stade: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Djoliba ACStade
Points F|A (Last 10)67.4 / 62.668.9 / 64.8
Points F|A (Last 5)59 / 62.471.2 / 59
Est. result7072
Est. total142.4
Line O/U133.5
Diff.8.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Djoliba AC 006 Stade

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/07/26
Mali Premiere Division
Stade68-57Djoliba AC
25/06/26
Mali Premiere Division
Djoliba AC49-70Stade
24/05/26
Mali Premiere Division
Stade75-72Djoliba AC
15/04/26
Mali Premiere Division
Djoliba AC53-58Stade
24/06/23
Mali Premiere Division
Stade87-66Djoliba AC
25/06/22
Mali Premiere Division
Stade89-67Djoliba AC

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDjoliba ACStade
USFAS 57-53 W 75-62 W
Centre Mamoutou Kane 60-59 W 68-56 W
CRBT 72-62 W 61-67 L
Koukia BC 80-64 W 63-61 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 0 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Djoliba AC

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Date Opponent FT Res.
11/07 Stade
Mali Premiere Division
57-68 L
27/06 USFAS
Mali Premiere Division
57-53 W
25/06 Stade
Mali Premiere Division
49-70 L
24/06 Centre Mamoutou Kane
Mali Premiere Division
60-59 W
16/06 CRBT
Mali Premiere Division
72-62 W
10/06 Koukia BC
Mali Premiere Division
80-64 W
06/06 USFAS
Mali Premiere Division
88-51 W
04/06 AS Real Bamako
Mali Premiere Division
70-45 W
24/05 Stade
Mali Premiere Division
72-75 L
20/05 Centre Mamoutou Kane
Mali Premiere Division
69-79 L

Stade

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Date Opponent FT Res.
11/07 Djoliba AC
Mali Premiere Division
68-57 W
27/06 Centre Mamoutou Kane
Mali Premiere Division
68-56 W
25/06 Djoliba AC
Mali Premiere Division
70-49 W
24/06 USFAS
Mali Premiere Division
75-62 W
15/06 Centre Mamoutou Kane
Mali Premiere Division
75-71 W
10/06 CRBT
Mali Premiere Division
61-67 L
07/06 Koukia BC
Mali Premiere Division
63-61 W
04/06 USFAS
Mali Premiere Division
61-86 L
24/05 Djoliba AC
Mali Premiere Division
75-72 W
21/05 Attar
Mali Premiere Division
73-67 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Djoliba AC vs Stade?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Djoliba AC 43% · Stade 57%).

How many points are expected in Djoliba AC vs Stade?

The model estimates 142.4 total points (Djoliba AC 69.9 · Stade 72.4).