Basketball · Brazil Copa Sao Paulo · 13/07, 00:00
Prediction: Corinthians vs Basquete Tatui
Prediction summary
Estimated points
149.3Total
Corinthians78.5
Basquete Tatui70.8
1X2
Corinthians
Basquete Tatui
Recent form · 10 last
Corinthians
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Basquete Tatui
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Corinthians
4–2
Basquete Tatui
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Corinthians 1566 · Basquete Tatui 1508
| Corinthians | Basquete Tatui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
149.3 points · Bet365 line 146.5 · +2.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points149.3Corinthians 78.5 · Basquete Tatui 70.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Corinthians (rating 1566 vs 1508).
- Corinthians is a clear favourite (71% market).
- H2H favours Corinthians: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Corinthians | Basquete Tatui | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.5 / 74.5 | 71.2 / 73.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 72 / 72 | 80 / 68.4 |
| Est. result | 79 | 71 |
Est. total149.3
Line O/U146.5
Diff.2.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Corinthians 4–0–2 Basquete Tatui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 Brazil Copa Sao Paulo | Basquete Tatui | 61-68 | Corinthians |
| 07/07/26 Brazil Copa Sao Paulo | Corinthians | 75-73 | Basquete Tatui |
| 05/07/26 Brazil Copa Sao Paulo | Corinthians | 81-69 | Basquete Tatui |
| 02/07/26 Brazil Copa Sao Paulo | Basquete Tatui | 98-61 | Corinthians |
| 31/05/26 Brazil Copa Sao Paulo | Corinthians | 109-44 | Basquete Tatui |
| 19/04/26 Brazil Copa Sao Paulo | Basquete Tatui | 76-65 | Corinthians |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Corinthians
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Basquete Tatui Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
68-61 | W |
| 07/07 | Basquete Tatui Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
75-73 | W |
| 05/07 | Basquete Tatui Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
81-69 | W |
| 02/07 | Basquete Tatui Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
61-98 | L |
| 17/06 | Sorocaba Basquete Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
75-59 | W |
| 17/06 | Liga Sorocabana Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
75-59 | W |
| 16/06 | Liga Sorocabana Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
87-89 | L |
| 13/06 | Liga Sorocabana Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
85-84 | W |
| 13/06 | Sorocaba Basquete Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
85-84 | W |
| 10/06 | F.R. Diadema Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
83-69 | W |
Basquete Tatui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Corinthians Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
61-68 | L |
| 07/07 | Corinthians Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
73-75 | L |
| 05/07 | Corinthians Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
69-81 | L |
| 02/07 | Corinthians Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
98-61 | W |
| 06/06 | Limeira Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
99-57 | W |
| 04/06 | Limeira Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
77-76 | W |
| 31/05 | Corinthians Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
44-109 | L |
| 28/05 | Brusque Brazil Liga Ouro |
81-76 | W |
| 26/05 | Brusque Brazil Liga Ouro |
73-67 | W |
| 24/05 | Liga Sorocabana Brazil Copa Sao Paulo |
37-67 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Corinthians vs Basquete Tatui?
Our model gives 71% to Corinthians.
How many points are expected in Corinthians vs Basquete Tatui?
The model estimates 149.3 total points (Corinthians 78.5 · Basquete Tatui 70.8).