Prediction: Municipal Gorbea SAESA vs Lautaro SAESA
| Municipal Gorbea SAESA | Lautaro SAESA | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Municipal Gorbea SAESA (rating 1524 vs 1461).
- Municipal Gorbea SAESA is a clear favourite (81% market).
- H2H favours Municipal Gorbea SAESA: 3-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Municipal Gorbea SAESA | Lautaro SAESA | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 70.2 / 73.4 | 71.4 / 78.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 73 / 68.4 | 72.2 / 82.2 |
| Est. result | 81 | 68 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Municipal Gorbea SAESA 3–0–0 Lautaro SAESA
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Chile Liga SAESA | Lautaro SAESA | 54-66 | Municipal Gorbea SAESA |
| 10/07/22 Chile Liga SAESA | Lautaro SAESA | 61-78 | Municipal Gorbea SAESA |
| 05/06/22 Chile Liga SAESA | Municipal Gorbea SAESA | 74-67 | Lautaro SAESA |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Municipal Gorbea SAESA | Lautaro SAESA |
|---|---|---|
| Espanol Osorno SAESA | 63-61 W | 82-86 L |
| Ancud SAESA | 75-72 W | 64-81 L |
| Temuco SAESA | 74-55 W | 81-85 L |
| Deportivo Osorno SAESA | 82-89 L | 85-70 W |
| Las Animas SAESA | 71-65 W | 60-67 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Municipal Gorbea SAESA (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Municipal Gorbea SAESA
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Espanol Osorno SAESA Chile Liga SAESA |
63-61 | W |
| 28/06 | Ancud SAESA Chile Liga SAESA |
75-72 | W |
| 14/06 | Temuco SAESA Chile Liga SAESA |
74-55 | W |
| 07/06 | Deportivo Osorno SAESA Chile Liga SAESA |
82-89 | L |
| 25/05 | Las Animas SAESA Chile Liga SAESA |
71-65 | W |
| 17/05 | Lautaro SAESA Chile Liga SAESA |
66-54 | W |
| 03/05 | Ancud SAESA Chile Liga SAESA |
59-95 | L |
| 17/08 | Espanol Osorno SAESA Chile Liga SAESA |
59-91 | L |
| 16/08 | Espanol Osorno SAESA Chile Liga SAESA |
61-72 | L |
| 10/08 | Ancud SAESA Chile Liga SAESA |
92-80 | W |
Lautaro SAESA
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Temuco SAESA Chile Liga SAESA |
81-85 | L |
| 28/06 | Osorno SAESA Chile Liga SAESA |
74-92 | L |
| 21/06 | Las Animas SAESA Chile Liga SAESA |
60-67 | L |
| 07/06 | Espanol Osorno SAESA Chile Liga SAESA |
82-86 | L |
| 24/05 | Ancud SAESA Chile Liga SAESA |
64-81 | L |
| 17/05 | Municipal Gorbea SAESA Chile Liga SAESA |
54-66 | L |
| 11/05 | Temuco SAESA Chile Liga SAESA |
78-72 | W |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Osorno SAESA Chile Liga SAESA |
85-70 | W |
| 26/04 | Las Animas SAESA Chile Liga SAESA |
74-68 | W |
| 03/08 | Espanol Osorno SAESA Chile Liga SAESA |
62-100 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Municipal Gorbea SAESA vs Lautaro SAESA?
Our model gives 81% to Municipal Gorbea SAESA.
How many points are expected in Municipal Gorbea SAESA vs Lautaro SAESA?
The model estimates 148.7 total points (Municipal Gorbea SAESA 80.5 · Lautaro SAESA 68.2).
Over or under 139.5 points?
Recent history points to over 139.5 points (65%).