Basketball · Chile Liga SAESA · 12/07, 01:00

Prediction: Ancud SAESA vs Espanol Osorno SAESA

Prediction summary
Estimated points
153.7Total
Ancud SAESA77.4
Espanol Osorno SAESA76.3
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
53% 47%
Ancud SAESA Espanol Osorno SAESA

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Ancud SAESA 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WWLLWWWWWL
Espanol Osorno SAESA 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ancud SAESA 1562 · Espanol Osorno SAESA 1557
Ancud SAESAEspanol Osorno SAESA
Our model63%37%
Market50%50%
Estimated total (ours) 153.7 points · Bet365 line 149.5 · +4.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points153.7Ancud SAESA 77.4 · Espanol Osorno SAESA 76.3

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Ancud SAESAEspanol Osorno SAESA
Points F|A (Last 10)86.6 / 7179.8 / 67.3
Points F|A (Last 5)85.4 / 73.877.2 / 74.4
Est. result7776
Est. total153.7
Line O/U149.5
Diff.4.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAncud SAESAEspanol Osorno SAESA
Municipal Gorbea SAESA 72-75 L 61-63 L
Temuco SAESA 91-78 W 85-72 W
Deportivo Osorno SAESA 92-72 W 92-72 W
Las Animas SAESA 91-80 W 62-83 L
Lautaro SAESA 81-64 W 86-82 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ancud SAESA (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ancud SAESA

WWLLWWWWWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
28/06 Municipal Gorbea SAESA
Chile Liga SAESA
72-75 L
21/06 Temuco SAESA
Chile Liga SAESA
91-78 W
14/06 Deportivo Osorno SAESA
Chile Liga SAESA
92-72 W
07/06 Las Animas SAESA
Chile Liga SAESA
91-80 W
24/05 Lautaro SAESA
Chile Liga SAESA
81-64 W
03/05 Municipal Gorbea SAESA
Chile Liga SAESA
95-59 W
26/04 Temuco SAESA
Chile Liga SAESA
72-76 L
10/08 Municipal Gorbea SAESA
Chile Liga SAESA
80-92 L
28/07 Municipal Gorbea SAESA
Chile Liga SAESA
63-58 W
20/07 Alemana Paillaco SAESA
Chile Liga SAESA
129-56 W

Espanol Osorno SAESA

WWWWWWWLWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
05/07 Municipal Gorbea SAESA
Chile Liga SAESA
61-63 L
21/06 Deportivo Osorno SAESA
Chile Liga SAESA
92-72 W
14/06 Las Animas SAESA
Chile Liga SAESA
62-83 L
07/06 Lautaro SAESA
Chile Liga SAESA
86-82 W
03/05 Temuco SAESA
Chile Liga SAESA
85-72 W
26/04 Deportivo Osorno SAESA
Chile Liga SAESA
74-60 W
31/08 Las Animas SAESA
Chile Liga SAESA
75-59 W
17/08 Municipal Gorbea SAESA
Chile Liga SAESA
91-59 W
16/08 Municipal Gorbea SAESA
Chile Liga SAESA
72-61 W
03/08 Lautaro SAESA
Chile Liga SAESA
100-62 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ancud SAESA vs Espanol Osorno SAESA?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Ancud SAESA 53% · Espanol Osorno SAESA 47%).

How many points are expected in Ancud SAESA vs Espanol Osorno SAESA?

The model estimates 153.7 total points (Ancud SAESA 77.4 · Espanol Osorno SAESA 76.3).