Basketball · Guatemala LMM · 11/07, 03:00
Prediction: Coyotes vs Forza
Prediction summary
Estimated points
171.9Total
Coyotes91.3
Forza80.6
1X2
Coyotes
Forza
Recent form · 10 last
Coyotes
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Forza
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Coyotes
2–1
Forza
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coyotes 1601 · Forza 1540
| Coyotes | Forza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
171.9 points · Bet365 line 174.5 · -2.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points171.9Coyotes 91.3 · Forza 80.6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coyotes (rating 1601 vs 1540).
- Coyotes is a clear favourite (78% market).
- H2H favours Coyotes: 2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Coyotes | Forza | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 98.5 / 73 | 88.2 / 83.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 103.4 / 76.4 | 93.4 / 88.2 |
| Est. result | 91 | 81 |
Est. total171.9
Line O/U174.5
Diff.2.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coyotes 2–0–1 Forza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/26 Guatemala LMM | Forza | 93-78 | Coyotes |
| 07/07/26 Guatemala LMM | Coyotes | 107-92 | Forza |
| 19/05/26 Guatemala LMM | Forza | 72-88 | Coyotes |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Coyotes | Forza |
|---|---|---|
| Crossover | 96-53 W | 81-62 W |
| Pat City | 132-86 W | 82-83 L |
| USAC | 65-67 L | 83-73 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Coyotes (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coyotes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Forza Guatemala LMM |
78-93 | L |
| 07/07 | Forza Guatemala LMM |
107-92 | W |
| 17/06 | Crossover Guatemala LMM |
96-53 | W |
| 13/06 | Crossover Guatemala LMM |
107-60 | W |
| 09/06 | PIBA Guatemala LMM |
129-84 | W |
| 19/05 | Forza Guatemala LMM |
88-72 | W |
| 12/05 | Pat City Guatemala LMM |
132-86 | W |
| 05/05 | Crossover Guatemala LMM |
92-77 | W |
| 30/04 | YOLO’s Team Guatemala LMM |
91-46 | W |
| 25/04 | USAC Guatemala LMM |
65-67 | L |
Forza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Coyotes Guatemala LMM |
93-78 | W |
| 07/07 | Coyotes Guatemala LMM |
92-107 | L |
| 19/06 | New Legends Guatemala LMM |
107-95 | W |
| 16/06 | New Legends Guatemala LMM |
92-88 | W |
| 09/06 | USAC Guatemala LMM |
83-73 | W |
| 19/05 | Coyotes Guatemala LMM |
72-88 | L |
| 12/05 | Halcones Guatemala LMM |
92-87 | W |
| 05/05 | Pat City Guatemala LMM |
82-83 | L |
| 28/04 | PSN Guatemala LMM |
88-74 | W |
| 21/04 | Crossover Guatemala LMM |
81-62 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coyotes vs Forza?
Our model gives 78% to Coyotes.
How many points are expected in Coyotes vs Forza?
The model estimates 171.9 total points (Coyotes 91.3 · Forza 80.6).