Basketball · Uganda Div 1 · 05/07, 16:00

Prediction: YMCA Hamstars vs Tropical Royals

Estimated 137.2 total points (YMCA Hamstars 68.5 · Tropical Royals 68.6).

On recent form, YMCA Hamstars is 3-0-7 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Tropical Royals 3-0-7 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, YMCA Hamstars won 2 and Tropical Royals 0.

60%2
40% 60%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · YMCA Hamstars 1457 · Tropical Royals 1462
YMCA HamstarsTropical Royals
Our model62%38%
Market34%66%
Estimated total (ours) 137.2 points · Bet365 line 120.5 · +16.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points137.2YMCA Hamstars 68.5 · Tropical Royals 68.6

Match keys

  • H2H favours YMCA Hamstars: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

YMCA HamstarsTropical Royals
Points F|A (Last 10)58.3 / 62.358.5 / 63.1
Points F|A (Last 5)59.4 / 58.458 / 63
Est. result6969
Est. total137.2
Line O/U120.5
Diff.16.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · YMCA Hamstars 200 Tropical Royals

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/08/25
Uganda Div 1
YMCA Hamstars58-57Tropical Royals
22/06/25
Uganda Div 1
Tropical Royals49-52YMCA Hamstars

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentYMCA HamstarsTropical Royals
Nkumba Marines 63-72 L 59-61 L
Livingstone (Uganda) 45-46 L 53-52 W
UPDF Tomahawks 38-62 L 44-63 L
Miracle Eagles 48-54 L 66-56 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 4 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tropical Royals (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

YMCA Hamstars

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Date Opponent FT Res.
28/06 Power Basketball Club
Uganda Div 1
61-53 W
19/04 Nkumba Marines
Uganda Div 1
63-72 L
18/04 Livingstone (Uganda)
Uganda Div 1
45-46 L
06/04 Berkley Basketball Club
Uganda Div 1
57-60 L
04/04 Power Basketball Club
Uganda Div 1
71-61 W
20/09 Ihoops BC
Uganda Div 1
61-64 L
14/09 Entebbe Knight Riders
Uganda Div 1
61-83 L
07/09 Power Basketball Club
Uganda Div 1
78-68 W
06/09 UPDF Tomahawks
Uganda Div 1
38-62 L
24/08 Miracle Eagles
Uganda Div 1
48-54 L

Tropical Royals

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Date Opponent FT Res.
27/06 KIU Titans
Uganda Div 1
64-79 L
19/04 Miracle Eagles
Uganda Div 1
66-56 W
06/04 Livingstone (Uganda)
Uganda Div 1
53-52 W
04/04 KIU Titans
Uganda Div 1
63-65 L
18/10 UPDF Tomahawks
Uganda Div 1
44-63 L
07/09 UMU Flames
Uganda Div 1
31-54 L
06/09 Nkumba Marines
Uganda Div 1
59-61 L
24/08 Diamonds in the Sun
Uganda Div 1
71-83 L
23/08 Ndejje Angels
Uganda Div 1
77-60 W
17/08 YMCA Hamstars
Uganda Div 1
57-58 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in YMCA Hamstars vs Tropical Royals?

Our model gives 60% to Tropical Royals.

How many points are expected in YMCA Hamstars vs Tropical Royals?

The model estimates 137.2 total points (YMCA Hamstars 68.5 · Tropical Royals 68.6).