Tennis · M15 Wuning · 03/07, 04:00
Prediction: Tianhui Zhang vs Hanyi Liu
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Hanyi Liu; the market gives 58% to Tianhui Zhang (odds 1.61).
On recent form, Tianhui Zhang is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Hanyi Liu 9-1 over theirs.
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tianhui Zhang 1570 · Hanyi Liu 1597
| Tianhui Zhang | Hanyi Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Tianhui Zhang 0–1 Hanyi Liu (1).
Statistics
| Tianhui Zhang | Hanyi Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-8.2 | 10.7-6.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 72% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 54.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
H2H · Tianhui Zhang 0 – 1 Hanyi Liu (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tianhui Zhang 0–1 Hanyi Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/25 ITF M25 Huzhou | 1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tianhui Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Grigoriy Lomakin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Yan Cheng Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Shintaro Imai M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Fanming Meng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 03/06 | Ilya Maltsev M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/05 | Yan Cheng Chen M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 30/05 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/05 | Shu Muto M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/05 | Weiyi Kong M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 27/05 | Zhenxiong Dong M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Hanyi Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Zhao Zhao M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Artem Alekseychuk M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/06 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Grigoriy Lomakin M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Kaigaoge Kang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/06 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tianhui Zhang vs Hanyi Liu?
Our model gives 52% to Tianhui Zhang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.