Tennis · M15 San Diego · 02/07, 22:30
Prediction: Benjamin O'Connell vs Noah Zamora
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Noah Zamora; the market gives 79% to Noah Zamora (odds 1.17).
On recent form, Benjamin O'Connell is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Noah Zamora 6-4 over theirs.
67%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin O'Connell 1521 · Noah Zamora 1527
| Benjamin O'Connell | Noah Zamora | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Benjamin O'Connell | Noah Zamora | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-9.9 | 10.9-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin O'Connell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Lance A L Castelan M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Nicholas Godsick M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Kenta Miyoshi M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 12/06 | Andrew Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Matic Kriznik M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | William Kleege M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/05 | Filippo Romano Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Ty Host M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
Noah Zamora
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Noah Johnston M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Jack Satterfield M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Stian Klaassen M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Kelly Giese M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Nathan Cox M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 04/06 | Kenta Miyoshi M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Timofey Stepanov M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/05 | Lucas Marionneau M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Mikael Arseneault M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin O'Connell vs Noah Zamora?
Our model gives 67% to Noah Zamora, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.