Tennis · Premier Padel Bordeaux Women · 02/07, 13:00
Prediction: Rodriguez/Dal Pozzo vs Ustero/Sanchez
Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Ustero/Sanchez; the market gives 86% to Ustero/Sanchez (odds 1.10).
Over their last 10 matches, Rodriguez/Dal Pozzo sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Ustero/Sanchez arrives on a 7-3 run.
73%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rodriguez/Dal Pozzo 1570 · Ustero/Sanchez 1621
| Rodriguez/Dal Pozzo | Ustero/Sanchez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ustero/Sanchez (rating 1570 vs 1621).
Statistics
| Rodriguez/Dal Pozzo | Ustero/Sanchez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10.8 | 12.3-10.3 |
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Double faults | 0 | 0 |
| 1st serve % | 57% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 53.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +2.9
Over 19.5: 70% · 1.90
Under 19.5: 30% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodriguez/Dal Pozzo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Gonzalez/Josemaria Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 26/06 | Salazar/Alonso Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Fernandez/Araujo Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 24/06 | Riera/Navarro Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Martinez/Lujan Premier Padel Valencia Women |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 06/06 | Brea/Triay Premier Padel Rome Women |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Fernandez/Araujo Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Orsi/Llaguno Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-1 | 13-16 | W |
| 03/06 | Salazar/Alonso Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 02/06 | Bellver/Merino Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Ustero/Sanchez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Gonzalez/Josemaria Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Brea/Triay Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/06 | Virseda/Guinart Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Rufo/Castello Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Fernandez/Araujo Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Brea/Triay Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 12/06 | Goenaga/Caldera Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Orsi/Llaguno Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Brea/Triay Premier Padel Rome Women |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Gonzalez/Josemaria Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodriguez/Dal Pozzo vs Ustero/Sanchez?
Our model gives 73% to Ustero/Sanchez.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.