Tennis · M25 Nivelles · 02/07, 13:30
Prediction: Mika Petkovic vs Jonas Forejtek
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Mika Petkovic; the market gives 61% to Jonas Forejtek (odds 1.53).
Recent form leaves Mika Petkovic with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Jonas Forejtek has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
51%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mika Petkovic 1571 · Jonas Forejtek 1488
| Mika Petkovic | Jonas Forejtek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mika Petkovic (rating 1571 vs 1488).
- Mika Petkovic is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mika Petkovic | Jonas Forejtek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.8 | 11.2-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 41.3% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mika Petkovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | David Tixhon M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Nathan Guiovanna M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/06 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Clement Lemire M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Hugo Car M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Max Schoenhaus M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/05 | Marvin Moeller M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Jonas Forejtek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Harold Huens M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 14/06 | Karol Filar Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 02/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/05 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 11/05 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/05 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 30/04 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mika Petkovic vs Jonas Forejtek?
Our model gives 51% to Jonas Forejtek, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.