Tennis · Premier Padel Bordeaux · 02/07, 11:00
Prediction: Sanz/Nieto vs Ruiz/Esbri
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Sanz/Nieto; the market gives 83% to Sanz/Nieto (odds 1.13).
Recent form leaves Sanz/Nieto with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Ruiz/Esbri has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
73%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sanz/Nieto 1570 · Ruiz/Esbri 1492
| Sanz/Nieto | Ruiz/Esbri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sanz/Nieto (rating 1570 vs 1492).
- Head-to-head: Sanz/Nieto 2–0 Ruiz/Esbri (2).
Statistics
| Sanz/Nieto | Ruiz/Esbri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.7 | 9-10 |
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Double faults | 0 | 0 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 30.6% | 27.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +0.7
Over 20.5: 55% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 45% · 1.83
H2H · Sanz/Nieto 2 – 0 Ruiz/Esbri (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sanz/Nieto 2–0 Ruiz/Esbri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/26 Premier Padel Giza | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/03/26 Premier Padel Gijon | 2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sanz/Nieto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Garcia Diestro/Piotto Premier Padel Bordeaux |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Coello/Tapia Premier Padel Valencia |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Bautista/Jofre Premier Padel Valencia |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 09/06 | Goenaga/Fernandez Premier Padel Valencia |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Augsburger/Lebron Premier Padel Rome |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Tello/Arce Premier Padel Rome |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/05 | Galan/Chingotto Premier Padel Buenos Aires |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Tello/Arce Premier Padel Buenos Aires |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/05 | Goenaga/Fernandez Premier Padel Buenos Aires |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/05 | Coello/Tapia Premier Padel Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Ruiz/Esbri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Jimenez/Garcia Premier Padel Bordeaux |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Gonzalez Luque/Campagnolo Premier Padel Valladolid |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Perry/Zamora Premier Padel Valladolid |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Coello/Tapia Premier Padel Valencia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Abbate/Montiel Premier Padel Valencia |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Bergamini/Garrido Premier Padel Rome |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Cabeza/Gonzalez Premier Padel Rome |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/05 | Augsburger/Lebron Premier Padel Buenos Aires |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Ortega/Piotto Premier Padel Buenos Aires |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/05 | Alonso/Goni Premier Padel Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sanz/Nieto vs Ruiz/Esbri?
Our model gives 73% to Sanz/Nieto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.