Tennis · Premier Padel Bordeaux Women · 02/07, 10:00
Prediction: Iglesias/Osoro vs Icardo/Jensen
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Icardo/Jensen; the market gives 75% to Icardo/Jensen (odds 1.25).
Over their last 10 matches, Iglesias/Osoro sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Icardo/Jensen arrives on a 8-2 run.
69%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Iglesias/Osoro 1478 · Icardo/Jensen 1553
| Iglesias/Osoro | Icardo/Jensen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Icardo/Jensen (rating 1478 vs 1553).
- Head-to-head: Iglesias/Osoro 0–1 Icardo/Jensen (1).
Statistics
| Iglesias/Osoro | Icardo/Jensen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.8 | 10.5-7.6 |
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Double faults | 0 | 0 |
| 1st serve % | 55% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 62% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +0.5
Over 20.5: 54% · 1.80
Under 20.5: 46% · 1.90
H2H · Iglesias/Osoro 0 – 1 Icardo/Jensen (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Iglesias/Osoro 0–1 Icardo/Jensen
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/26 Premier Padel Brussels Women | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Iglesias/Osoro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Barrera/Velasco Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Gonzalez/Josemaria Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Martinez Gomez/Perez Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Orsi/Llaguno Premier Padel Valencia Women |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Ustero/Sanchez Premier Padel Rome Women |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Riera/Navarro Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/05 | Salazar/Alonso Premier Padel Buenos Aires Women |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 13/05 | Goenaga/Caldera Premier Padel Buenos Aires Women |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Rodriguez/Dal Pozzo Premier Padel Asuncion Women · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 23/04 | Icardo/Jensen Premier Padel Brussels Women · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Icardo/Jensen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Gonzalez/Josemaria Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Sainz/Montes Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Fernandez/Araujo Premier Padel Valencia Women |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Valenzuela/Dominguez Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Saiz/Talavan Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Brea/Triay Premier Padel Rome Women |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Sharifova/Collombon Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/06 | Saiz/Talavan Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/05 | Fernandez/Araujo Premier Padel Buenos Aires Women |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Rodriguez/Dal Pozzo Premier Padel Buenos Aires Women |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Iglesias/Osoro vs Icardo/Jensen?
Our model gives 69% to Icardo/Jensen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.