Tennis · Premier Padel Bordeaux Women · 02/07, 11:30
Prediction: Calvo/Ortega vs Canovas/Rodriguez
Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Calvo/Ortega; the market gives 86% to Calvo/Ortega (odds 1.10).
On recent form, Calvo/Ortega is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Canovas/Rodriguez 5-5 over theirs.
74%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Calvo/Ortega 1535 · Canovas/Rodriguez 1471
| Calvo/Ortega | Canovas/Rodriguez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Calvo/Ortega (rating 1535 vs 1471).
Statistics
| Calvo/Ortega | Canovas/Rodriguez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9.1 | 10.7-11.2 |
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Double faults | 0 | 0 |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | 50.5% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 66.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +1.5
Over 19.5: 60% · 1.90
Under 19.5: 40% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Calvo/Ortega
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Barrera/Fassio Premier Padel Valladolid Women |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Fernandez/Araujo Premier Padel Valencia Women |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Gonzalez/Josemaria Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/06 | Canellas/Godallier Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Rufo/Castello Premier Padel Valencia Women |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/06 | Gonzalez/Josemaria Premier Padel Rome Women |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/06 | Sainz/Montes Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Martinez Gomez/Perez Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/05 | Ustero/Sanchez Premier Padel Buenos Aires Women |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Orsi/Llaguno Premier Padel Buenos Aires Women |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Canovas/Rodriguez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Peralta/Ferreyra Premier Padel Bordeaux Women |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Goenaga/Caldera Premier Padel Valencia Women |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Barrera/Velasco Premier Padel Rome Women |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Gomez/Arellano Premier Padel Rome Women |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/05 | Rufo/Castello Premier Padel Buenos Aires Women |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 24/03 | Bidahorria/Caparros Premier Padel Miami Women |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/03 | Fernandez/Araujo Premier Padel Cancun Women |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 04/03 | Rufo/Castello Premier Padel Gijon Women |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/02 | Gonzalez/Josemaria Premier Padel Riyadh Women |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/02 | Collombon/Montes Premier Padel Riyadh Women |
2-1 | 15-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Calvo/Ortega vs Canovas/Rodriguez?
Our model gives 74% to Calvo/Ortega.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.