Tennis · M25 Skopje · 02/07, 10:00
Prediction: Drazen Petrovic vs Corentin Denolly
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Corentin Denolly; the market gives 88% to Corentin Denolly (odds 1.07).
Over their last 10 matches, Drazen Petrovic sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Corentin Denolly arrives on a 8-2 run.
74%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Drazen Petrovic 1498 · Corentin Denolly 1545
| Drazen Petrovic | Corentin Denolly | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Corentin Denolly (rating 1498 vs 1545).
Statistics
| Drazen Petrovic | Corentin Denolly | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.8 | 11.3-8.8 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 0.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Drazen Petrovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Matic Dimic M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 22/06 | Oliver Pivnik M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Lorenzo Leti Messina M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Marat Sharipov M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Henry Best M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
1-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 09/06 | Eduardo Lage M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Marko Maksimovic M25 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 21/05 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Corentin Denolly
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Jan Kumstat M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Patrik Meszaros M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Radovan Michalik M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/05 | Felix Balshaw M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/05 | Jack Loge M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/05 | Mathys Picard M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Marc Antoine Gaillard M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/04 | Justin Roberts M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 18/04 | Adam Lynch M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Drazen Petrovic vs Corentin Denolly?
Our model gives 74% to Corentin Denolly, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.