Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 03/07, 02:00
Prediction: Camille Kiss vs Natalie Stasny
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 64% to Camille Kiss; the market gives 87% to Camille Kiss (odds 1.08).
Over their last 10 matches, Camille Kiss sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Natalie Stasny arrives on a 4-6 run.
76%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Camille Kiss 1566 · Natalie Stasny 1465
| Camille Kiss | Natalie Stasny | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Camille Kiss (rating 1566 vs 1465).
- Camille Kiss is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Camille Kiss makes many double faults (10.3/match).
Statistics
| Camille Kiss | Natalie Stasny | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-10.6 | 8.2-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 10.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 51.3% |
| Break % | 65.1% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Camille Kiss
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Paula Dougherty UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Daniela Borruel UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Emma Tutoveanu UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/06 | Mika Ikemori UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Campbell Ricci UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Anya Murthy UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Emily Robertson UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Kingsley Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
Natalie Stasny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Daniela Borruel UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Paula Dougherty UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/12 | Anna Bugaienko UTR Pro Dallas Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 05/12 | Avery Olsen UTR Pro Dallas Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/12 | Addison Yang Comiskey UTR Pro Dallas Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/12 | Mary Lewis UTR Pro Dallas Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/12 | Mackenzie Clark UTR Pro Dallas Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/11 | Carrington Brown UTR Pro Dallas Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/07 | Taylor Goetz UTR Pro Lincoln Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Parker Christensen UTR Pro Lincoln Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Camille Kiss vs Natalie Stasny?
Our model gives 76% to Camille Kiss, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.