Prediction: Malvern City vs Eastern Lions
Expected goals: 3.29 (Malvern City 2.01 · Eastern Lions 1.28). The model gives 53% home, 23% draw, 24% away. Over 3 goals (53%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Malvern City sits at 6-1-3 (W-D-L), while Eastern Lions arrives on a 2-4-4 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Malvern City won 1 and Eastern Lions 0.
| Malvern City | Draw | Eastern Lions | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| Market | 54% | 22% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malvern City (rating 1548 vs 1486).
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Malvern City | Eastern Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6 | 1.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Malvern City 1–0–0 Eastern Lions
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 Australia Victoria Premier League 2 | Eastern Lions | 2-4 HT 2-2 | Malvern City |
Standings · Australia Victoria Premier League 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malvern City | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 23 | 34 |
| 3 | Essendon Royals | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 45 | 27 | 33 |
| 4 | Bayside Argonauts FC | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 27 | 30 |
| 5 | Box Hill United | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | Keilor Park | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 25 |
| 7 | Whittlesea United | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 24 |
| 8 | Nunawading | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 22 |
| 9 | Eastern Lions | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 25 | 20 |
| 10 | Springvale White Eagles | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 33 | 20 |
| 11 | Werribee City | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 19 |
| 12 | Kingston City | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 16 |
| 13 | Altona City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 27 | 15 |
| 14 | Moreland City SC | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | 11 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Malvern City | Eastern Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Altona City | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Essendon Royals | 2-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Whittlesea United | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Box Hill United | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Kingston City | 5-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Springvale White Eagles | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Goulburn Valley Suns FC | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Nunawading | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Moreland City SC | 4-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 4 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Malvern City (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malvern City
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-3 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Bayside Argonauts FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Eastern Lions
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Springvale White Eagles Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Goulburn Valley Suns FC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | Nunawading Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Moreland City SC Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | Keilor Park Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Kingston City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 08/05 | Altona City Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Essendon Royals Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Whittlesea United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/04 | Box Hill United Australia Victoria Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malvern City vs Eastern Lions?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Malvern City win (53%). Probabilities: Malvern City 53%, draw 23%, Eastern Lions 24%.
How many goals are expected in Malvern City vs Eastern Lions?
The model expects 3.29 goals (Malvern City 2.01 · Eastern Lions 1.28), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Malvern City vs Eastern Lions?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.