Basketball · Australia Big V Women · 04/07, 10:00
Prediction: Pakenham Warriors (W) vs Warrnambool Mermaids (W)
Estimated 146.9 total points (Pakenham Warriors (W) 87.8 · Warrnambool Mermaids (W) 59.1).
On recent form, Pakenham Warriors (W) is 7-0-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Warrnambool Mermaids (W) 0-0-10 over its own. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 5 wins for Pakenham Warriors (W) and 0 for Warrnambool Mermaids (W).
84%1
Model analysis
Estimated points146.9Pakenham Warriors (W) 87.8 · Warrnambool Mermaids (W) 59.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pakenham Warriors (W) (rating 1553 vs 1352).
- Pakenham Warriors (W) is a clear favourite (84% market).
- H2H favours Pakenham Warriors (W): 5-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Pakenham Warriors (W) | Warrnambool Mermaids (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.1 / 70 | 47.9 / 91.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 77 / 76.8 | 52.2 / 96.8 |
| Est. result | 88 | 59 |
Est. total146.9
Line O/U147.5
Diff.0.6
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pakenham Warriors (W) 5–0–0 Warrnambool Mermaids (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Australia Big V Women | Warrnambool Mermaids (W) | 43-100 | Pakenham Warriors (W) |
| 21/06/25 Australia Big V Women | Warrnambool Mermaids (W) | 38-98 | Pakenham Warriors (W) |
| 10/05/25 Australia Big V Women | Pakenham Warriors (W) | 100-49 | Warrnambool Mermaids (W) |
| 20/07/24 Australia Big V Women | Pakenham Warriors (W) | 58-57 | Warrnambool Mermaids (W) |
| 18/05/24 Australia Big V Women | Warrnambool Mermaids (W) | 72-75 | Pakenham Warriors (W) |
Standings · Australia Big V Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sherbrooke Suns (W) | 15 | 13 | 2 | 1269 | 957 | 39 |
| 2 | McKinnon Cougars (W) | 14 | 12 | 2 | 1290 | 893 | 36 |
| 3 | Bellarine Storm (W) | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1176 | 1031 | 33 |
| 4 | Pakenham Warriors (W) | 14 | 10 | 4 | 1088 | 969 | 30 |
| 5 | Western Port Steelers (W) | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1150 | 1017 | 24 |
| 6 | Bulleen Boomers (W) | 13 | 5 | 8 | 972 | 1039 | 15 |
| 7 | Sunbury Jets (W) | 16 | 6 | 10 | 1121 | 1206 | 18 |
| 8 | Hume City Broncos (W) | 15 | 5 | 10 | 917 | 1079 | 15 |
| 9 | Warrandyte Venom (W) | 15 | 3 | 12 | 999 | 1166 | 9 |
| 10 | Warrnambool Mermaids (W) | 14 | 0 | 14 | 694 | 1319 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pakenham Warriors (W) | Warrnambool Mermaids (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Hume City Broncos (W) | 74-67 W | 49-90 L |
| Western Port Steelers (W) | 82-66 W | 28-80 L |
| Bulleen Boomers (W) | 74-85 L | 66-83 L |
| Sunbury Jets (W) | 86-70 W | 50-105 L |
| McKinnon Cougars (W) | 69-96 L | 45-122 L |
| Bellarine Storm (W) | 70-68 W | 61-79 L |
| Sherbrooke Suns (W) | 78-71 W | 39-95 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Pakenham Warriors (W) (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pakenham Warriors (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Hume City Broncos (W) Australia Big V Women |
74-67 | W |
| 21/06 | Western Port Steelers (W) Australia Big V Women |
82-66 | W |
| 14/06 | Bulleen Boomers (W) Australia Big V Women |
74-85 | L |
| 30/05 | Sunbury Jets (W) Australia Big V Women |
86-70 | W |
| 24/05 | McKinnon Cougars (W) Australia Big V Women |
69-96 | L |
| 23/05 | Bellarine Storm (W) Australia Big V Women |
70-68 | W |
| 16/05 | Bulleen Boomers (W) Australia Big V Women |
76-62 | W |
| 09/05 | Warrnambool Mermaids (W) Australia Big V Women |
100-43 | W |
| 02/05 | Western Port Steelers (W) Australia Big V Women |
62-72 | L |
| 26/04 | Sherbrooke Suns (W) Australia Big V Women |
78-71 | W |
Warrnambool Mermaids (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Sunbury Jets (W) Australia Big V Women |
50-105 | L |
| 20/06 | Bulleen Boomers (W) Australia Big V Women |
66-83 | L |
| 14/06 | Bellarine Storm (W) Australia Big V Women |
61-79 | L |
| 13/06 | McKinnon Cougars (W) Australia Big V Women |
45-122 | L |
| 23/05 | Sherbrooke Suns (W) Australia Big V Women |
39-95 | L |
| 17/05 | Western Port Steelers (W) Australia Big V Women |
28-80 | L |
| 16/05 | Warrandyte Venom (W) Australia Big V Women |
52-78 | L |
| 10/05 | McKinnon Cougars (W) Australia Big V Women |
46-80 | L |
| 09/05 | Pakenham Warriors (W) Australia Big V Women |
43-100 | L |
| 02/05 | Hume City Broncos (W) Australia Big V Women |
49-90 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pakenham Warriors (W) vs Warrnambool Mermaids (W)?
Our model gives 84% to Pakenham Warriors (W).
How many points are expected in Pakenham Warriors (W) vs Warrnambool Mermaids (W)?
The model estimates 146.9 total points (Pakenham Warriors (W) 87.8 · Warrnambool Mermaids (W) 59.1).