🎾 Tennis · Challenger Targu Mures · 25/06, 09:00
Niels McDonald vs Francesco Passaro
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niels McDonald 1637 · Francesco Passaro 1509
| Niels McDonald | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
🔑 Match keys
- Value on Niels McDonald: the model (surface Elo) gives it +12.1% more probability than its odds (2.5) pay.
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niels McDonald (rating 1637 vs 1509).
- Niels McDonald is in better form: 100% recent wins.
🎾 Statistics
| Niels McDonald | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 50% |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.2 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-7.8 | 11.8-11.7 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 32.8% |
📅 Last 10 matches played
Last matches played by each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss.
Niels McDonald
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 14/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Varnamo |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Aristotelis Thanos M25 Varnamo |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Anton Shepp M25 Varnamo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Varnamo |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Cruz Hewitt M25 Varnamo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Kai Wehnelt M15 Rosbach |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 06/06 | Vincent Marysko M15 Rosbach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Michel Hopp M15 Rosbach |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Mariano Dedura-Palomero M15 Rosbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Francesco Passaro
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Rio De Janeiro · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 17/02 | Dino Prizmic ATP Rio De Janeiro · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/02 | Vilius Gaubas ATP Rio De Janeiro · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/02 | Elmer Moller ATP Rio De Janeiro · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/02 | Ignacio Buse ATP Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 08/02 | Marco Cecchinato ATP Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 07/02 | Nicolas Kicker ATP Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/01 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |