Fútbol · Northern Ireland Premier League Women · 28/6, 16:00
Glentoran (W) vs Derry City (W)
86%1
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Glentoran (W) 1573 · Derry City (W) 1489
| Glentoran (W) | Empate | Derry City (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 76% | 14% | 11% |
| Mercado | 94% | 5% | 1% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
4.5 goles · línea Bet365 4.5
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado. Las apuestas de valor marcan dónde la cuota cubre con margen la probabilidad del modelo (valor).
Análisis del modelo
Goles esperados4.5Glentoran (W) 3.25 · Derry City (W) 1.25
Más / Menos 4.5Menos 4.5 · 51%
Ambos marcanSí · 59%
Total más probable4 goles
Goles 1ª parteMás 1.5 · 67%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a Glentoran (W) (rating 1573 vs 1489).
- Total alto: 4.5 goles estimados → Over 2.5 a considerar.
- Historial directo a favor de Glentoran (W): 6-0-0.
- Se marca pronto: 2.8 goles de media combinada al descanso (2 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Ambos marcan y encajan con frecuencia → BTTS (ambos marcan) a considerar.
- Muchos córners: 14.9 de media combinada → Over córners.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Glentoran (W) | Derry City (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 3.2 / 1.1 | 2 / 2 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 2 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 70/10/20% | 50/10/40% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 10 | 2.7 / 4.9 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Glentoran (W) 6–0–0 Derry City (W)
| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Derry City (W) | 2-4 HT 0-2 | Glentoran (W) |
| 13/06/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Glentoran (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Derry City (W) |
| 02/10/24 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Derry City (W) | 1-6 HT 1-1 | Glentoran (W) |
| 12/10/22 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Derry City (W) | 0-10 HT 0-4 | Glentoran (W) |
| 01/06/22 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Glentoran (W) | 7-0 HT 3-0 | Derry City (W) |
| 06/10/21 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Glentoran (W) | 9-1 HT 7-0 | Derry City (W) |
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Glentoran (W)
| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/6 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 4-2 | 16 | 2 | V |
| 30/5 | Shelbourne (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-3 | 1-6 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 22/5 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 0 | V |
| 17/5 | Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
4-0 | 7-0 | 19 | 1 | V |
| 10/5 | Waterford FC (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 1/5 | Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | V |
| 26/4 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | V |
| 22/4 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 1 | V |
| 1/4 | Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 16 | 1 | V |
| 12/10 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | V |
Derry City (W)
| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/6 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-5 | – | – | D |
| 29/5 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 6-1 | – | – | V |
| 22/5 | Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | V |
| 15/5 | Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 8/5 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 1/5 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-4 | 0-5 | – | – | D |
| 22/4 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | V |
| 17/4 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland League Cup Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 12/10 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | V |
| 1/10 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | V |