Basketball · Kenya Premier League · 26/06, 18:00
Nairobi City Thunder vs Equity Bank
85%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nairobi City Thunder 1634 · Equity Bank 1528
| Nairobi City Thunder | Equity Bank | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 24% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
156.1 points · Bet365 line 152.5 · +3.6
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Model analysis
Estimated points156.1Nairobi City Thunder 83.1 · Equity Bank 73
Match keys
- Estimate (156.1) far from line (152.5): possible value on Over 152.5.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nairobi City Thunder (rating 1634 vs 1528).
- Nairobi City Thunder is a clear favourite (85% market).
- H2H favours Nairobi City Thunder: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Nairobi City Thunder | Equity Bank | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 88.5 / 64.2 | 81.7 / 78.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 90.2 / 57.2 | 80.6 / 75.6 |
| Est. result | 83 | 73 |
Est. total156.1
Line O/U152.5
Diff.3.6
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nairobi City Thunder 6–0–0 Equity Bank
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/25 Kenya Premier League | Nairobi City Thunder | 89-49 | Equity Bank |
| 21/02/25 Kenya Premier League | Nairobi City Thunder | 116-60 | Equity Bank |
| 05/07/24 Kenya Premier League | Nairobi City Thunder | 77-54 | Equity Bank |
| 23/06/24 Kenya Premier League | Equity Bank | 66-69 | Nairobi City Thunder |
| 23/03/24 Kenya Premier League | Nairobi City Thunder | 73-70 | Equity Bank |
| 17/11/23 Kenya Premier League | Equity Bank | 65-73 | Nairobi City Thunder |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nairobi City Thunder
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | ANU Wolfpacks Kenya Premier League |
92-58 | W |
| 20/06 | Eldonets Kenya Premier League |
106-52 | W |
| 19/06 | Stanbic Shields Kenya Premier League |
84-64 | W |
| 12/06 | Ulinzi Kenya Premier League |
90-69 | W |
| 01/06 | Bravehearts Club Friendlies |
79-43 | W |
| 22/05 | Blades Kenya Premier League |
79-60 | W |
| 02/05 | ANU Wolfpacks Kenya Premier League |
83-79 | W |
| 30/04 | Umoja Kenya Premier League |
78-66 | W |
| 26/04 | Moischers Nets Kenya Premier League |
93-59 | W |
| 05/04 | Tigers Basketball Africa League |
101-92 | W |
Equity Bank
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Eldonets Kenya Premier League |
93-90 | W |
| 20/06 | ANU Wolfpacks Kenya Premier League |
79-88 | L |
| 14/06 | Blades Kenya Premier League |
87-72 | W |
| 14/06 | Strathmore Blades Kenya Premier League |
87-72 | W |
| 30/05 | Ulinzi Kenya Premier League |
57-56 | W |
| 23/05 | Blades Kenya Premier League |
83-71 | W |
| 19/04 | Terror Kenya Premier League |
78-79 | L |
| 27/03 | KPA Kenya Premier League |
90-99 | L |
| 20/03 | Umoja Kenya Premier League |
100-85 | W |
| 01/03 | Stanbic Shields Kenya Premier League |
63-74 | L |