Tennis · M15 Umag · 02/07, 15:30

Prediction: Veljko Krstic vs Pietro Orlando Fellin

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Pietro Orlando Fellin; the market gives 83% to Pietro Orlando Fellin (odds 1.13).

On recent form, Veljko Krstic is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Pietro Orlando Fellin 9-1 over theirs.

71%2
29% 71%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Veljko Krstic 1555 · Pietro Orlando Fellin 1604
Veljko KrsticPietro Orlando Fellin
Our model43%57%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pietro Orlando Fellin (rating 1555 vs 1604).

Statistics

Veljko KrsticPietro Orlando Fellin
Win %70%80%
Win % · Clay 70% (10) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.81.8-0.6
Games (G-P)11.5-9.413.6-10.9
Aces0.52.5
Double faults1.91.8
1st serve %67.4%71.4%
Break %39.5%39.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Veljko Krstic

WWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Noel Larwig
M15 Umag · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
29/06 Timeo Gaillard
M15 Umag · ~Clay
2-1 10-11 W
18/06 Andrea De Marchi
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
17/06 Jan Klimas
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
16/06 Samuel Kyjaci
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
22/07 Cedric Stanke
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
13/07 Wojciech Marek
UTR Pro Monterol · Clay
1-2 17-16 L
12/07 Jiri Cizek
UTR Pro Monterol · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
11/07 Jonathan Mridha
UTR Pro Monterol · Clay
2-1 12-12 W
09/07 Mateo Martinovic
UTR Pro Monterol · Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Pietro Orlando Fellin

WWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Radovan Michalik
M15 Umag · ~Clay
2-0 14-12 W
21/06 Nico Hipfl
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
20/06 Khumoyun Sultanov
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
18/06 Abel Forger
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
2-1 19-15 W
17/06 Tomas Lanik
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
2-0 11-6 W
12/06 Attila Dominik Boros
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
1-2 14-16 L
11/06 Luka Talan Lopatic
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
09/06 Khumoyun Sultanov
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
2-1 15-18 W
01/06 Oriol Roca Batalla
Challenger Perugia · Clay
1-2 15-17 L
31/05 Manas Manoj Dhamne
Challenger Perugia · Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Veljko Krstic vs Pietro Orlando Fellin?

Our model gives 71% to Pietro Orlando Fellin, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.