Prediction: Jonas Kucera vs Leonardo Borrelli
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Jonas Kucera; the market gives 73% to Jonas Kucera (odds 1.28).
Recent form leaves Jonas Kucera with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Leonardo Borrelli has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
67%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jonas Kucera 1518 · Leonardo Borrelli 1458
| Jonas Kucera | Leonardo Borrelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jonas Kucera (rating 1518 vs 1458).
- Jonas Kucera is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Leonardo Borrelli makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Jonas Kucera | Leonardo Borrelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.7 | 9.3-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 58% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jonas Kucera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Peter Fajta M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Oskari Paldanius M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/01 | Filippo Romano M15 Bagnoles de l'Orne · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/01 | Rodrigo Alujas M15 Bagnoles de l'Orne · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/01 | Matyas Fuele M15 Bagnoles de l'Orne · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 15/10 | Vladyslav Orlov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Alex Michael M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/10 | Samir Hamza Reguig M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 08/10 | Makar Krivoshchekov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Gonzalo Le Gentil M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Leonardo Borrelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Giuseppe La Vela M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Sebastiano Cocola M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Yassine Smiej M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Jorge Plans M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 06/04 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Silvio Mencaglia M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jonas Kucera vs Leonardo Borrelli?
Our model gives 67% to Jonas Kucera, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.