Tennis · W35 Aix-les-Bains · 03/07, 10:00
Prediction: Alina Granwehr vs Carlota Martinez Cirez
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Alina Granwehr; the market gives 54% to Alina Granwehr (odds 1.73).
Recent form leaves Alina Granwehr with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Carlota Martinez Cirez has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Granwehr 1545 · Carlota Martinez Cirez 1544
| Alina Granwehr | Carlota Martinez Cirez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alina Granwehr makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Alina Granwehr | Carlota Martinez Cirez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.8 | 11.3-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 0 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 58% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Granwehr
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Camilla Gennaro W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Federica Trevisan W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Sara Cakarevic W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Jenny Lim W35 Nice |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Tatiana Pieri W35 Nice |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Mariia Lazarenko W35 Nice |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Juliette Trunet W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Carlota Martinez Cirez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Jasmijn Gimbrere W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Mathilde Lollia W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Luna Vujovic W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Elina Nepliy W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Carolina Dibenedetto W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Angelica Moratelli W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/05 | Francesca Curmi W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/05 | Amarissa Kiara Toth W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 21/05 | Mia Ristic W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Granwehr vs Carlota Martinez Cirez?
Our model gives 52% to Alina Granwehr, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.