Tennis · M15 Monastir · 02/07, 10:30
Prediction: Benjamin Gusic Wan vs Aziz Ouakaa
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 64% to Aziz Ouakaa; the market gives 79% to Aziz Ouakaa (odds 1.17).
Recent form leaves Benjamin Gusic Wan with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Aziz Ouakaa has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
73%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin Gusic Wan 1462 · Aziz Ouakaa 1565
| Benjamin Gusic Wan | Aziz Ouakaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aziz Ouakaa (rating 1462 vs 1565).
- Aziz Ouakaa is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Benjamin Gusic Wan makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Benjamin Gusic Wan | Aziz Ouakaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.8-10.2 | 13.4-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 45.4% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 64% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin Gusic Wan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Ibrahim Snoussi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Mert Alkaya M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Amir Omarkhanov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 28/02 | Julio Cesar Porras UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/02 | Ondrej Hujo UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/02 | Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/02 | Pavel Lagutin UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/02 | Fred Gil UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Aziz Ouakaa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Billy Blaydes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Viktor Frydrych M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Matthew Rankin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Marcus Walters M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 05/06 | Jacob Bradshaw M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Edison Ambarzumjan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin Gusic Wan vs Aziz Ouakaa?
Our model gives 73% to Aziz Ouakaa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.