Tennis · W15 Getxo · 02/07, 14:30

Prediction: Emma Ottavia Ghirardato vs Amelie Van Impe

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Emma Ottavia Ghirardato; the market gives 79% to Amelie Van Impe (odds 1.17).

Recent form leaves Emma Ottavia Ghirardato with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Amelie Van Impe has piled up 5-5 in the same span.

63%2
37% 63%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Emma Ottavia Ghirardato 1579 · Amelie Van Impe 1535
Emma Ottavia GhirardatoAmelie Van Impe
Our model56%44%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Ottavia Ghirardato (rating 1579 vs 1535).

Statistics

Emma Ottavia GhirardatoAmelie Van Impe
Win %80%60%
Win % · Clay 80% (10) 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.81.2-0.9
Games (G-P)12.9-8.49.9-6.5
Aces0.70.9
Double faults1.21.7
1st serve %60.2%58.1%
Break %65.7%46.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Emma Ottavia Ghirardato

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Olga Bienzobas Fernandez
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 16-9 W
29/06 Maria Trujillo Garnica
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
19/06 Ksenia Zaytseva
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
18/06 Mariya Yemshanova
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
17/06 Helena Stevic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 13-12 W
13/06 Marie Mettraux
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 16-15 L
12/06 Mia Horvit
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 15-8 W
11/06 Alexa Karatancheva
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
10/06 Elena Milovanovic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 17-15 W
08/06 Odeta Panasa
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Amelie Van Impe

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Juliette Trunet
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
26/06 Margaux Maquet
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
25/06 Celia Anson Sanchez
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-1 17-10 W
23/06 Anastasiya Kuparev
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
09/04 Mary Stoiana
W35 Boca Raton
0-2 4-12 L
07/04 Misa Malkin
W35 Boca Raton
2-0 12-0 W
03/04 Victoria Hu
W35 Jackson · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
02/04 Mary Lewis
W35 Jackson · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
31/03 Chukwumelije Clarke
W35 Jackson · ~Clay
2-0 12-0 W
11/03 Valeriya Strakhova
W35 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Emma Ottavia Ghirardato vs Amelie Van Impe?

Our model gives 63% to Amelie Van Impe, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.