Prediction: Mathieu Scaglia vs Benjamin Pietri
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Benjamin Pietri; the market gives 69% to Benjamin Pietri (odds 1.36).
Over their last 10 matches, Mathieu Scaglia sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Benjamin Pietri arrives on a 3-7 run.
| Mathieu Scaglia | Benjamin Pietri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benjamin Pietri (rating 1464 vs 1507).
- Head-to-head: Mathieu Scaglia 0–3 Benjamin Pietri (3).
Statistics
| Mathieu Scaglia | Benjamin Pietri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-10.2 | 9.8-11.4 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 26.8% | 45.9% |
H2H · Mathieu Scaglia 0 – 3 Benjamin Pietri (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mathieu Scaglia 0–3 Benjamin Pietri
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/26 M15 Monastir | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/10/25 M15 Heraklion | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/08/25 ITF M15 Sofia | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathieu Scaglia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Lucas Poullain M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Nick Beamish M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/05 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Amine Jamji M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Nick Beamish M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 06/05 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/02 | Jorge Plans M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Benjamin Pietri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Peter Buldorini M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 26/06 | Lukas Pokorny M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/05 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/04 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/04 | Alec Deckers M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/04 | Evangelos Kypriotis M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/04 | Reece Falck M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Louis Larue M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Philip Henning M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathieu Scaglia vs Benjamin Pietri?
Our model gives 63% to Benjamin Pietri, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.