Tennis · M25 Ajaccio · 02/07, 15:00
Prediction: Robin Catry vs Clement Lemire
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Clement Lemire; the market gives 69% to Robin Catry (odds 1.36).
On recent form, Robin Catry is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Clement Lemire 8-2 over theirs.
56%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Robin Catry 1496 · Clement Lemire 1558
| Robin Catry | Clement Lemire | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clement Lemire (rating 1496 vs 1558).
- Robin Catry dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 40.1% break avg.
- Clement Lemire is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Robin Catry makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Robin Catry | Clement Lemire | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-13.7 | 11-6.9 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Robin Catry
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Mikail Alimli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Mert Alkaya M25 Porto |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Daniil Ostapenkov M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Daniel Lara Salmeron M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 26/05 | Luciano Barbarino M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Kevin Edengren M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Evgeny Karlovskiy M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/04 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Angers · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/04 | Karl Poling Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Clement Lemire
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Zach Stephens M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/06 | James Furlong M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/06 | Mika Petkovic M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Sven Corbinais M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Pietro Mugelli M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Kaya Arinc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/06 | Jason Huang M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/11 | Noah Johnston M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 05/11 | Kriish Tyagi M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Robin Catry vs Clement Lemire?
Our model gives 56% to Robin Catry, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.