Tennis · M25 Marburg · 02/07, 12:30
Prediction: Jonathan Mridha vs Justin Schlageter
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Jonathan Mridha; the market gives 53% to Justin Schlageter (odds 1.61).
On recent form, Jonathan Mridha is 6-0-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Justin Schlageter 6-0-4 over its own.
53%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jonathan Mridha 1532 · Justin Schlageter 1517
| Jonathan Mridha | Justin Schlageter | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Statistics
| Jonathan Mridha | Justin Schlageter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-8.8 | 11.5-11.5 |
| Aces | 3 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 57.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jonathan Mridha
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Rudolf Molleker M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Julius Maximilian Haus M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Alan Wazny M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 11/06 | Aristotelis Thanos M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Jannik Opitz M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Lorenzo Ferri M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/06 | William Elmers M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/05 | Nemanja Malesevic M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Alen Mujakic M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/05 | Norbert Marosik M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Justin Schlageter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Matteo Covato M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Noah Karma M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 02/06 | Vincent Marysko M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 29/05 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Alec Deckers M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/05 | Sammy Guinau M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/11 | Andrej Nedic M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/11 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jonathan Mridha vs Justin Schlageter?
Our model gives 53% to Justin Schlageter, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.