Tennis · W50 Elvas · 02/07, 10:30

Prediction: Katarina Kuzmova vs Daria Khomutsianskaya

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Katarina Kuzmova; the market gives 51% to Daria Khomutsianskaya (odds 1.73).

On recent form, Katarina Kuzmova is 8-0-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Daria Khomutsianskaya 8-0-2 over its own.

51%2
49% 51%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Katarina Kuzmova 1553 · Daria Khomutsianskaya 1535
Katarina KuzmovaDaria Khomutsianskaya
Our model53%47%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).

Match keys

  • Note: Katarina Kuzmova makes many double faults (4.8/match).
  • Note: Daria Khomutsianskaya makes many double faults (5.9/match).

Statistics

Katarina KuzmovaDaria Khomutsianskaya
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.91.5-1
Games (G-P)12.4-10.313-10.7
Aces2.71.7
Double faults4.85.9
1st serve %68.1%64.3%
Break %49.4%53.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

H2H · Katarina Kuzmova 11 Daria Khomutsianskaya (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Katarina Kuzmova 11 Daria Khomutsianskaya

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DateSetsGamesRes.
24/05/24
W15 Monastir
0-27-12L
10/02/24
W15 Sharm El Sheikh
2-013-6W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Katarina Kuzmova

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Zoziya Kardava
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-1 17-12 W
17/06 Susan Bandecchi
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
16/06 Viktoria Morvayova
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
13/06 Savannah Broadus
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
12/06 Ariana Arseneault
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
11/06 Lauryn John-Baptiste
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
2-1 13-12 W
10/06 Elizabeth Coleman
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
05/06 Francisca Jorge
W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard
1-2 12-16 L
04/06 Esther Adeshina
W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
03/06 Elizabeth Coleman
W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard
2-1 16-8 W

Daria Khomutsianskaya

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Linda Klimovicova
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 10-3 W
20/06 Jiaqi Wang
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
19/06 Yufei Ren
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
2-1 16-12 W
18/06 Xi Luo
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
17/06 Jiangxue Han
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
2-0 13-5 W
11/06 Sara Saito
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 15-16 L
09/06 Chenting Zhu
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
02/06 Yidi Yang
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 14-17 L
28/05 Zongyu Li
W35 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 14-16 L
27/05 Yingqun Sun
W35 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 19-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Katarina Kuzmova vs Daria Khomutsianskaya?

Our model gives 51% to Daria Khomutsianskaya, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.