Tennis · Wimbledon MD · 03/07, 12:00
Prediction: Arevalo/Pavic vs Stevenson/Willis
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Arevalo/Pavic; the market gives 64% to Arevalo/Pavic (odds 1.28).
On recent form, Arevalo/Pavic is 9-0-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Stevenson/Willis 6-0-4 over its own.
64%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arevalo/Pavic 1603 · Stevenson/Willis 1578
| Arevalo/Pavic | Stevenson/Willis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Note: Stevenson/Willis makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Arevalo/Pavic | Stevenson/Willis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | 100% (5) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-9 | 15.8-15.3 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 78.2% | 81.6% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 25.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arevalo/Pavic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Bublik/Kyrgios Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Heliovaara/Patten ATP Queens MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Cash/Glasspool ATP Queens MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Bhambri/Venus ATP Queens MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Ram/Salisbury ATP Queens MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Arends/Pel French Open MD · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 30/05 | Galloway/Peers French Open MD · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Hilderbrand/Paris French Open MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/05 | Harrison/Skupski ATP Rome MD · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin ATP Rome MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Stevenson/Willis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Behar/Salisbury Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 01/07 | Behar/Salisbury Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Harrison/Skupski ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Luz/Matos ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
2-1 | 23-23 | W |
| 19/06 | Heliovaara/Patten ATP Queens MD · Grass |
1-2 | 13-20 | L |
| 17/06 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin ATP Queens MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Choudary Bollipalli/Hilderbrand Challenger Ilkley MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Holmgren/Prashanth Challenger Ilkley MD · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Blanchet/Jacquet Challenger Ilkley MD · Grass |
2-1 | 27-25 | W |
| 10/06 | Chandrasekar/Yuzuki Challenger Ilkley MD · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arevalo/Pavic vs Stevenson/Willis?
Our model gives 64% to Arevalo/Pavic, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.