Prediction: Dalila Jakupovic vs Maria Lourdes Carle
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Maria Lourdes Carle; the market gives 64% to Maria Lourdes Carle (odds 1.28).
On recent form, Dalila Jakupovic is 4-0-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Maria Lourdes Carle 5-0-5 over its own.
| Dalila Jakupovic | Maria Lourdes Carle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Maria Lourdes Carle dominates on serve: 10 aces and 56.4% break avg.
- Note: Maria Lourdes Carle makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Dalila Jakupovic | Maria Lourdes Carle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.6 | 12.5-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 10 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 56.9% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 51% | 56.4% |
H2H · Dalila Jakupovic 1 – 1 Maria Lourdes Carle (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalila Jakupovic 1–1 Maria Lourdes Carle
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/25 ITF W75 Hechingen | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/07/23 WTA Contrexeville | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalila Jakupovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Emily Seibold W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Amarissa Kiara Toth W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Bianca E Barbulescu W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Francesca Curmi W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Anastasia Tikhonova W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 20/05 | Ela Plosnik W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/05 | Katherine Sebov WTA Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Hanyu Guo WTA Huzhou · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Maria Lourdes Carle
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Valentina Steiner W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/06 | Jeline Vandromme Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Lucie Havlickova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Anastasiia Firman W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Rebecca Sramkova French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 20/05 | Maria Timofeeva French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/05 | Rebeka Masarova French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/05 | Barbora Palicova W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Mary Stoiana W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 30/04 | Anna Rogers W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dalila Jakupovic vs Maria Lourdes Carle?
Our model gives 64% to Maria Lourdes Carle, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

