Tennis · W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 02/07, 13:30

Prediction: Dalila Jakupovic vs Maria Lourdes Carle

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Maria Lourdes Carle; the market gives 64% to Maria Lourdes Carle (odds 1.28).

On recent form, Dalila Jakupovic is 4-0-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Maria Lourdes Carle 5-0-5 over its own.

64%2
36% 64%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dalila Jakupovic 1498 · Maria Lourdes Carle 1512
Dalila JakupovicMaria Lourdes Carle
Our model48%52%
Market27%73%

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).

Match keys

  • Maria Lourdes Carle dominates on serve: 10 aces and 56.4% break avg.
  • Note: Maria Lourdes Carle makes many double faults (5.4/match).

Statistics

Dalila JakupovicMaria Lourdes Carle
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 50% (10) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)1-1.21.3-1.3
Games (G-P)10.8-10.612.5-11.5
Aces1.510
Double faults3.55.4
1st serve %56.9%60.5%
Break %51%56.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3

H2H · Dalila Jakupovic 11 Maria Lourdes Carle (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalila Jakupovic 11 Maria Lourdes Carle

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DateSetsGamesRes.
30/07/25
ITF W75 Hechingen
0-26-13L
10/07/23
WTA Contrexeville
2-012-8W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dalila Jakupovic

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Emily Seibold
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
12/06 Iva Primorac Pavicic
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
11/06 Amarissa Kiara Toth
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-1 16-14 W
10/06 Bianca E Barbulescu
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
02/06 Yasmine Kabbaj
WTA Makarska · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
22/05 Francesca Curmi
W50 Portoroz · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
21/05 Anastasia Tikhonova
W50 Portoroz · ~Clay
2-1 14-13 W
20/05 Ela Plosnik
W50 Portoroz · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
04/05 Katherine Sebov
WTA Istanbul · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
28/04 Hanyu Guo
WTA Huzhou · Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Maria Lourdes Carle

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Valentina Steiner
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
24/06 Jeline Vandromme
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 14-18 L
23/06 Lucie Havlickova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 18-16 W
16/06 Anastasiia Firman
W75 Blois · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
22/05 Rebecca Sramkova
French Open Women · Clay
1-2 13-17 L
20/05 Maria Timofeeva
French Open Women · Clay
2-1 14-10 W
19/05 Rebeka Masarova
French Open Women · Clay
2-1 16-12 W
05/05 Barbora Palicova
W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
01/05 Mary Stoiana
W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay
1-2 14-13 L
30/04 Anna Rogers
W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dalila Jakupovic vs Maria Lourdes Carle?

Our model gives 64% to Maria Lourdes Carle, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.