Prediction: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Michael Zheng
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Felix Auger Aliassime; the market gives 67% to Felix Auger Aliassime (odds 1.17).
On recent form, Felix Auger Aliassime is 7-0-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Michael Zheng 6-0-4 over its own.
67%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felix Auger Aliassime 1567 · Michael Zheng 1561
| Felix Auger Aliassime | Michael Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Felix Auger Aliassime dominates on serve: 13.7 aces and 45.5% break avg.
- Michael Zheng dominates on serve: 11.8 aces and 53.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Felix Auger Aliassime | Michael Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 71% (7) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-1 | 1.9-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.9-13.8 | 17-14.4 |
| Aces | 13.7 | 11.8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 80.1% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 53.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
28.7 · Bet365 line 37.5 · -8.8
Over 37.5: 6% · 1.83
Under 37.5: 94% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felix Auger Aliassime
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Dino Prizmic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 20-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Alexander Shevchenko Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Learner Tien ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 15/06 | Nuno Borges ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Marton Fucsovics ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Flavio Cobolli French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
| 01/06 | Alejandro Tabilo French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-9 | W |
| 30/05 | Brandon Nakashima French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 25-20 | W |
Michael Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-18 | W |
| 29/06 | Cameron Norrie Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 31-25 | W |
| 25/06 | Colton Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Laslo Djere Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Henri Squire Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Mark Lajal Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 24/05 | Dino Prizmic French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 5-18 | L |
| 21/05 | Jesper De Jong French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Stefano Travaglia French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felix Auger Aliassime vs Michael Zheng?
Our model gives 67% to Felix Auger Aliassime, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.