Tennis · Challenger Milan · 03/07, 10:00
Prediction: Francisco Comesana vs Daniel Rincon
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Francisco Comesana; the market gives 64% to Francisco Comesana (odds 1.33).
On recent form, Francisco Comesana is 7-0-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Daniel Rincon 5-0-5 over its own.
64%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisco Comesana 1568 · Daniel Rincon 1530
| Francisco Comesana | Daniel Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Statistics
| Francisco Comesana | Daniel Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-1.1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.8-14 | 10.9-10.1 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 3 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 78% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisco Comesana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 30/05 | Matteo Berrettini French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 30-31 | L |
| 28/05 | Luciano Darderi French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 25-26 | W |
| 26/05 | Ethan Quinn French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 20-16 | W |
| 20/05 | Jaume Munar ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Valentin Royer ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 17/05 | Max Hans Rehberg ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/05 | Henry Bernet ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Daniel Rincon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Dali Blanch Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/05 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Vic |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 16/05 | Jack Kennedy M25 Vic |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/05 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Vic |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francisco Comesana vs Daniel Rincon?
Our model gives 64% to Francisco Comesana, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.