Tennis · M15 Wuning · 02/07, 05:30
Prediction: Fitriadi M Rifqi vs Arvid Nordquist
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 65% to Arvid Nordquist; the market gives 60% to Arvid Nordquist (odds 1.67).
On recent form, Fitriadi M Rifqi is 5-0-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Arvid Nordquist 8-0-2 over its own.
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fitriadi M Rifqi 1470 · Arvid Nordquist 1581
| Fitriadi M Rifqi | Arvid Nordquist | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arvid Nordquist (rating 1470 vs 1581).
- Arvid Nordquist is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Fitriadi M Rifqi | Arvid Nordquist | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-10.3 | 11.5-8 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 75% |
| Break % | 30% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fitriadi M Rifqi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Minghui Zhang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Isaac Becroft M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/05 | S D Prajwal Dev M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Taiyo Yamanaka M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 23/04 | Dominik Palan M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 22/04 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/04 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 17/04 | Taketo Takamisawa M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Arvid Nordquist
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Jun Hao Luo M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Xiaoyin Yang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/05 | Muhammad Shoaib M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 09/05 | Nikita Ianin M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 08/05 | Mert Naci Turker M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/05 | Stevan Popovic M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/05 | Abubakar Talha M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/05 | Nikita Ianin M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fitriadi M Rifqi vs Arvid Nordquist?
Our model gives 60% to Arvid Nordquist, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.