Tennis · W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 02/07, 13:30

Prediction: Julie Struplova vs Alice Tubello

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Julie Struplova; the market gives 54% to Julie Struplova (odds 1.83).

On recent form, Julie Struplova is 7-0-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Alice Tubello 3-0-7 over its own.

54%1
54% 46%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Julie Struplova 1543 · Alice Tubello 1474
Julie StruplovaAlice Tubello
Our model60%40%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julie Struplova (rating 1543 vs 1474).
  • Julie Struplova is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Julie StruplovaAlice Tubello
Win %70%40%
Win % · Clay 70% (10) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.71-1.4
Games (G-P)10.4-7.49.8-11
Aces0.41.3
Double faults2.33.1
1st serve %59.7%55.5%
Break %59.7%52.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Julie Struplova

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Luna Maria Cinalli
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
14/06 Ekaterina Kazionova
WTA Brescia · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
11/06 Martha Matoula
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
09/06 Petra Sedlackova
W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
28/05 Teodora Kostovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
27/05 Darya Astakhova
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 15-12 W
24/05 Francesca Curmi
W50 Portoroz · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
23/05 Ipek Oz
W50 Portoroz · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
22/05 Eva Vedder
W50 Portoroz · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
21/05 Rasheeda McAdoo
W50 Portoroz · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W

Alice Tubello

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Andreea Prisacariu
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
23/06 Elena Pridankina
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 2-12 L
09/06 Dominika Salkova
WTA Modena · Clay
1-2 11-15 L
02/06 Carole Monnet
WTA Foggia · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
26/05 Donna Vekic
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
11/05 Alina Charaeva
WTA Paris · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
09/05 Maria Timofeeva
WTA Istanbul · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
08/05 Polina Kudermetova
WTA Istanbul · Clay
2-1 16-12 W
06/05 Elizara Yaneva
WTA Istanbul · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
04/05 Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
WTA Istanbul · Clay
2-1 18-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Julie Struplova vs Alice Tubello?

Our model gives 54% to Julie Struplova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.