Tennis · M15 Getxo · 02/07, 13:00

Prediction: Alejandro Garcia vs Gabriele Bosio

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Alejandro Garcia; the market gives 52% to Alejandro Garcia (odds 1.83).

On recent form, Alejandro Garcia is 5-0-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Gabriele Bosio 4-0-6 over its own.

52%1
52% 48%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alejandro Garcia 1530 · Gabriele Bosio 1501
Alejandro GarciaGabriele Bosio
Our model54%46%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).

Statistics

Alejandro GarciaGabriele Bosio
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 67% (3) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.2-1.2
Games (G-P)10.7-9.211.1-11.3
Aces1.81
Double faults32.3
1st serve %69.1%62.7%
Break %40.4%51.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alejandro Garcia

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Iker Gaztambide Arrastia
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 16-6 W
29/06 Carlos Giraldi
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
23/06 Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
22/06 Alex Blanchar
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
2-1 10-9 W
21/06 Guillem Busquets Brau
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
14/06 Matthieu Chambonniere
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
18/02 Alejo Sanchez Quilez
M15 Villena · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/02 Noah Martens
M15 Villena · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
05/02 Sergi Perez Contri
M15 Javea
1-2 11-15 L
03/02 David Naharro
M15 Javea
2-0 12-4 W

Gabriele Bosio

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Sergio Planella Hernandez
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 15-11 W
15/06 Simone Massellani
M25 Milano · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
07/06 Gianmarco Ferrari
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
0-2 5-13 L
02/06 Adam Majchrzak
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
1-2 17-18 L
31/05 Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
1-2 11-14 L
30/05 Alexandr Binda
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
29/05 Ivan Iutkin
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
28/05 Lorenzo Rottoli
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-1 17-12 W
23/05 Bor Artnak
M15 Litija · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
22/05 Kirill Kivattsev
M15 Litija · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alejandro Garcia vs Gabriele Bosio?

Our model gives 52% to Alejandro Garcia, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.