Tennis · M15 Getxo · 02/07, 18:30

Prediction: Pedro Rodenas vs Pavlos Tsitsipas

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Pedro Rodenas; the market gives 65% to Pedro Rodenas (odds 1.22).

On recent form, Pedro Rodenas is 6-0-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Pavlos Tsitsipas 7-0-3 over its own.

65%1
65% 35%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pedro Rodenas 1541 · Pavlos Tsitsipas 1540
Pedro RodenasPavlos Tsitsipas
Our model50%50%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Pedro Rodenas 1–0 Pavlos Tsitsipas (1).

Statistics

Pedro RodenasPavlos Tsitsipas
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 67% (6) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.5-0.7
Games (G-P)11.2-9.511.8-9.9
Aces2.25.2
Double faults2.63.6
1st serve %62%72.2%
Break %47.9%44.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

H2H · Pedro Rodenas 10 Pavlos Tsitsipas (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pedro Rodenas 10 Pavlos Tsitsipas

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DateSetsGamesRes.
05/09/25
ITF M15 Madrid
2-012-5W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pedro Rodenas

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Julien Dando
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
19/06 Andrea Colombo
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
18/06 Ludovico Vaccari
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 14-11 W
16/06 Ibrahim Snoussi
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 11-3 W
10/06 Paul Barbier Gazeu
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-11 L
22/04 Joao Goncalves
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
1-2 10-14 L
29/11 Cyril Vandermeersch
ITF M15 Madrid · Clay
1-2 14-14 L
28/11 Michiel de Krom
ITF M15 Madrid · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
27/11 Pavel Lagutin
ITF M15 Madrid · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
26/11 Lucca Helguera Casado
ITF M15 Madrid · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Pavlos Tsitsipas

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 David Naharro
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
25/06 Kalin Ivanovski
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 11-14 L
24/06 Kirill Kivattsev
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
17/06 Ryan Nijboer
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
1-2 14-18 L
16/06 Peru Bayo
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
2-1 14-11 W
30/05 Pavel Lagutin
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
29/05 Xavier Ferrer Mateo
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
28/05 Alvaro Peiro Serrano
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
27/05 Ausias Martin Melo
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
26/05 Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez
UTR Pro Match Series · Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pedro Rodenas vs Pavlos Tsitsipas?

Our model gives 65% to Pedro Rodenas, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.