Tennis · M25 Rabat · 02/07, 12:00
Prediction: Johan Nikles vs Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Johan Nikles; the market gives 67% to Johan Nikles (odds 1.25).
On recent form, Johan Nikles is 5-0-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez 4-0-6 over its own.
67%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Johan Nikles 1533 · Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez 1478
| Johan Nikles | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Johan Nikles (rating 1533 vs 1478).
Statistics
| Johan Nikles | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.3 | 11-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Johan Nikles
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 26/06 | Karim Bennani M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Matthieu Chambonniere M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Edouard Villoslada M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Jules Fabre Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/05 | Oriol Roca Batalla M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Julian Alonso M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/05 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 15/05 | Jack Kennedy M25 Vic |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Dillon Beckles M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/05 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Seydina Andre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 21/05 | Joao Dinis Silva M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Thomas Drayton M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/04 | Florian Broska M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 29/04 | Louis Dussin M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/04 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Ceuta · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Johan Nikles vs Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez?
Our model gives 67% to Johan Nikles, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.