Tennis · M25 Marburg · 02/07, 17:30
Prediction: Paul Jubb vs Khumoyun Sultanov
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 67% to Khumoyun Sultanov; the market gives 55% to Khumoyun Sultanov (odds 2.10).
On recent form, Paul Jubb is 3-0-7 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Khumoyun Sultanov 9-0-1 over its own.
55%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paul Jubb 1504 · Khumoyun Sultanov 1630
| Paul Jubb | Khumoyun Sultanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value indicator marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Khumoyun Sultanov (rating 1504 vs 1630).
- Khumoyun Sultanov is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Paul Jubb | Khumoyun Sultanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.8-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.3 | 11.7-6.3 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 31.9% | 63.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paul Jubb
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Karl Friberg M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Tomas Barrios Vera Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 22/06 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 08/06 | Mark Lajal Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 07/06 | Max Basing Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 06/05 | Patrick Brady M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Khumoyun Sultanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Jim Hendrikx M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 28/06 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Antonio Voljavec M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Piotr Galus M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/06 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/06 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Patrik Meszaros M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Noel Larwig M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paul Jubb vs Khumoyun Sultanov?
Our model gives 55% to Khumoyun Sultanov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.